Canadian foreign policy: on course
but needs fine tuning!
We're equally effective to help resolve conflicts in Central Africa
Published October 20th, 2003
The Arab League faces a choice: live in the
past and perish or face the future and flourish
Published October 6th, 2003
Where was the Alliance when Bill Sampson was in Saudi
jail?
Dumping on diplomats is a convenient way to score points on domestic political scene
Published September 29th, 2003
Musharraf and Karzai come calling on Chrétien
Pakistan will seek further financial assistance to help bolster country's economy
Published September 22nd, 2003
Postwar dilemma in Iraq and some options
The UN can play an important role in the transformation of Iraq into a democratic
state
Published September 15th, 2003
The Middle East roadmap is only hope for peace in
the region and beyond
Published August 11th, 2003
Americans, British face serious credibility
test over weapons of mass destruction
Published July 28th, 2003
Whither U.S.A.?
U.S. doesn't know what it's scared of
Published June 30th, 2003
A tale of two countries, Cuba and Myanmar
Published June 23rd, 2003
Bravo to U.S. President Bush
Bush also tackles issue in first term as opposed to waiting until safety of his
second term
Published June 9th, 2003
The Middle East roadmap
No shortage of hard-liners on both sides, only the brave and committed will deliver
peace
Published June 2nd, 2003
Canada must act now in the Congo
It remains to be seen what Canada will do to take lead to help bring order, avoid
genocide
Published May 26th, 2003
Bush's Middle East road map a commendable first
step
But he may be gambling heavily
Published May 19th, 2003
NMD suddenly lands with a giant thud
Published May 12th, 2003
Bush's bent on resolving Israeli-Palestinian conflict
Published May 5th, 2003
Democracy in Africa
Much-needed nurturing of relations between Canada and the African continent
Published April 28th, 2003
Iraq aftermath
Hope for democratization
Published April 21st, 2003
Iraqi chargé d'affaires may apply for refugee status
Mamdouh Mustafa lives in Rockliffe with his wife and two children
Published April 14th, 2003
Canada's principled foreign policy
Published April 7th, 2003
International diplomacy is a two-edged sword
U.S. would not now want to push its two friendly neighbours too far
Published March 31st, 2003
Canada's stand is not anti-American
Iraq war has fermented some uncomfortable upheavals on international scene
Published March 24th, 2003
UN will survive current Iraqi crisis
Other than doomsday prophets, world leaders are keeping UN in perspective
Published March 17th, 2003
Canada's respectable compromise
Published March 10th, 2003
So, Saddam has to go
For the sake of his people
Published March 3rd, 2003
World order is shifting
Published February 17th, 2003
U.S. needs UN to ensure safe, secure world
Published February 10th, 2003
Canada is right to stay the UN course
While the U.S. engages in dialogue with North Korea, it wants to attack Iraq
Published February 3rd, 2003
Resolution 181 is still valid
Published December 9th, 2002
NATO membership comes with a heavy price tag
What alternative is there to NATO? The answer, the European Union
Published December 2nd, 2002
The next step in Iraq
What will Canada do, if the U.S. proceeds to take military action against Iraq?
Published November 18th, 2002
EU admits divided country of Cyprus and yet rejects
Turkey's application
What part of Cyprus will become a member of the EU? The Greek or the Turkish?
Published November 4th, 2002
Keith Martin desperately seeking limelight
Published October 21st, 2002
Canada's federal politicians are in a big quandary
over Iraq
It persists in not knowing what to do if and when the U.S. decides to launch a unilateral
military attack
Published October 7th, 2002
How are Bush's observations any different from
Jean Chrétien's?
Published September 30th, 2002
Iraqis deserve tranquility
Published September 16th, 2002
British colonial injustices continue to haunt
troubled Zimbabwe
Problems could have been avoided had international community helped finance land
distribution programs
Published August 19th, 2002
So what part of Cyprus will become a member of EU?
Published August 5th, 2002
The 800 million Africans deserve better treatment
Africa needs someone to champion their cause to create a level playing field in
order for them to finally compete fairly on the world trade scene, it is time
Published June 24th, 2002
Listen up, NATO has a role to play in preventive diplomacy
And preventive diplomacy can sometime only be effective if one is carrying the proverbial
big stick, Canada
Published June 3rd, 2002
Sensational CBC 60 Minutes story fuels stronger
attacks on Canada's refugee and immigration policies, negative stereotype
Published May 6th, 2002
Back to Top

October 20th, 2003
Canadian foreign policy: on course but needs fine tuning!
We're equally effective to help resolve conflicts in Central Africa
How should the world view Canada? What kind of image does Canada reflect on the
international stage? That is the challenge and task of a nation's foreign policy.
In the case of Canada, its current foreign policy accurately reflects the values
it practices at home. These are not a nebulous set of values, but highly-respected
and cherished principles drawn from history and current practices. Nothing describes
Canadian values better than late Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau's vision of a "just
society" -- a society of compassion, tolerance, promoting peace and respect
for human rights, helping build consensus and bridges as well as bridging gaps.
These are the values Canadian diplomats put into practice at various embassies and
at international institutions such as the United Nations. The end result is an ongoing
and growing respect for Canadian values -- call it middle power, soft power or whatever
power! While such values garner respect for Canada, the problem is Canada is not
doing enough of it.
Take the practice of consensus or confidence-building. There is no nation better-positioned
to play a more active role in various parts of the world to engage in active consensus-building
-- a well-known practice among our aboriginal people. Last week's trip by Foreign
Affairs Minister Bill Graham to strife-torn island-nation Sri Lanka to promote dialogue
and help resolve the ethnic conflict is the kind of role that Canada needs to play
more often on the world stage. Canada is well-respected by various parties to play
and equally effective to help resolve conflicts in Central Africa.
During his recent visit to Ottawa, Pakistan's President Pervez Musharraf strongly
hinted for Canada to play a more active role in the lingering Kashmir conflict between
India and Pakistan. Given the goodwill that Canada enjoys in the Middle East, it
is disheartening to note the lack of action in the Middle East to help resolve the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Prime Minister Chrétien has made positive and practical
contribution towards helping resolve this simmering conflict by offering to provide
Canadian troops to help monitor an international border. For without a clearly demarcated,
identified, and internationally respected border, there is no end in sight to the
continuing conflict which is consuming so many innocent lives on both sides. It
will be naïve to think that Canada can do it alone. However, in concert with other
like-minded nations, Canada can help guide the peace process, not only in the Middle
East, but in many other parts of the world. For instance, former foreign affairs
minister Lloyd Axworthy's often lonely but successful fight achieved an international
treaty banning anti-personnel landmines, thereby saving thousands of innocent lives
around the world.
The Human Security Network, the brain-child of former foreign affairs minister Axworthy,
unites like-minded countries like Chile, Norway, and South Africa, in building consensus
on how best to tackle various issues confronting citizens of the world. This network
is now viewed as an important forum for conflict-prevention. Similarly, former prime
minister Joe Clark, during his tenure later as foreign affairs minister, pursued
activist foreign policy vis-à-vis South Africa and the Middle East. Perhaps the
next Prime Minister should consider summoning both these seasoned foreign policy
geniuses to the Senate and appointing them ambassadors-at-large to assist in conflict-resolution
processes. This would also be a signal of return to the non-bipartisan approach
to foreign policy which has come under onslaught recently. For instance, under the
Progressive Conservative Prime Minister John Diefenbaker, Canada refused to buckle
under the U.S. pressure and break relations with Cuba or impose an economic embargo
on the island nation.
When Canadians talk about an "independent foreign policy" they usually
refer only to a policy different from the United States. While this may be understandable
given the overwhelming presence in military might and economic influence, Canada
also needs to look to developing a foreign policy independent of France and Britain.
While we may share many values which we could jointly employ in our foreign policy
initiatives, we also need to develop a distinct Canadian perspective in the pursuit
of foreign policy.
This domestic compassion component is reflected in the development assistance programs
of Canadian foreign policy. A desire to help the less fortunate to attain better
standard of living by providing better health and education facilities are two elements
of this rewarding exercise. Prime Minister Chrétien's NEPAD initiative to help kick-start
the Africa economies and achieve better governance, to name only two objectives,
is a most welcome gesture.
In defence, Canada's priority needs to be to defend our border on three coasts and
not to rush off and buy equipment to achieve inter-operability with the U.S. Our
focus should be on developing expertise in specific areas, such as communications,
in order to help play a role in any military or peacekeeping operation. This would
be a practical approach in response to the new realities on the world scene.
If there is a glaring lack of coordination and comprehension in the Canadian foreign
policy element: it is culture. Canada is lacking on how best to reflect what is
Canadian culture. The current Canadian culture encompasses aboriginal throat singing,
Bhangra dancing and West Indian steel drums. Yet, for the most part, only ballet
and western orchestras makeup the cultural component. It must reflect the changing
demographics and the new face of Canada.
Canada is an experiment in social engineering on how to develop a society enjoying
peace, order and good governance. The eyes of the world are on us. If we succeed,
we can export this lesson in our foreign policy spearheaded by Bill Graham -- a
realist, nurtured by academic idealism, yet a practical foreign minister.

Back to Top
October 6th, 2003
The Arab League faces a choice:
live in the past and perish or face the future and flourish
"The Arab World is going through a terrible phase," the Arab League's
Secretary General Amr Moussa lamented when visiting
Ottawa
last week. He was talking about the political problems in the
Middle East
, but he may just as well have been talking about the economic malaise and social
discontent in the Arab World.
He told the House of Commons Committee on Foreign Affairs and International Trade,
the unresolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict is "facing a dead end at this juncture.
We don't see any light at the end of any tunnel." This is a depressing and
an unfortunate signal of possible undesired developments in the
Middle East
.
The
Middle East
, consequently the Arab League, is consumed by the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
But if that is all this regional body of 22-member states founded in 1945 is going
to focus its energies on, at the expense of socio-economic development in the Arab
world, then it is failing the Arab peoples. Secretary General Moussa did mention
in passing the empowerment of women, concern about developments in
Iraq
and attacks on Islam.
The Arab League, like any other regional grouping, is made up of diverse member-states
with uneven economic development and diametrically opposed ideological viewpoints.
They range from pro-West monarchist Jordan to its antithesis
Libya
, from purely economically driven Emirates to largely ideologically-motivated Syrians.
From agriculturally rich and fertile
Iraq
to desert-dominated
Mauritania
. And then, of course, there is
Saudi Arabia
: still staunchly pro-West (at least at the official level), yet beholden to promoting
Islam, with the presence of Islam's two holy shrines in
Mecca
and
Medina
. And until recently, Saudi authorities turned a deaf ear to religious leaders at
regular Friday prayers preaching hatred against non-Muslims, some even calling for
the slaughter of the infidels! Contrast this to the presence of religious minorities
in countries such as
Egypt
,
Morocco
,
Lebanon
and Jordan -- the last two represented in
Ottawa
by ambassadors of Christian faith. The economic and ideological diversity of the
Arab nations reflected in the Arab League need not be the albatross it currently
is, but should be used to harness for economic and social development for its member
states.
Because of its preoccupation with political issues, the Arab League is failing to
deal with issues on top of the agenda in other regional groupings such as ASEAN,
Organization of American States and even the African Union. The 10-member states
of ASEAN, Association of Southeast Asian Nations, are engaged in promoting intra-state
trade and promoting trade deals with other regional trade blocs. The 34-member Organization
of American States (OAS), of which
Canada
is a member, is also now focusing on promoting hemispheric trade and investment,
which hopefully culminate in a Free Trade Area of the
Americas
. The Organization of African Union, last year changed its name to African Union,
revamped its Charter by changing priorities from fighting colonialism to dealing
with issues of economic development and good governance. It is only recently, a
couple of weekends ago, that the Arab League held a rare U.S.-Arab Economic Forum
in
Detroit
,
Michigan
to boost trade with and attract investment from the
U.S.
This is precisely the role the Arab League needs to play -- promoting greater intra-state
trade as well as attracting foreign investment to help kick-start the engine of
growth.
It needs to make drastic changes to the education system too. While religious education
is important, knowledge of modern know-how and technology is essential.
The Arab League has thus far also lagged in promoting social change among its member
states. While the Secretary General talked of women empowerment, one of its member
states
Saudi Arabia
does not allow women to even drive, let alone vote! At the other spectrum, socially
dynamic states such as
Morocco
and
Jordan
are fast reaping benefits of keeping up with social change and empowering all segments
of the population through education and democratic change.
Other than economic and social development the Arab League has a big challenge to
ensure good governance in its member states with guarantees of individual freedoms
and democratic rule so desperately lacking in its member states.
While achieving consensus in as diverse group as the Arab League is not easy, Secretary
General Moussa is to be commended for proposing the creation of an Arab Parliament
-- a progressive idea which could not only allow for consensus but also demonstrate
democracy in action.
There is no denying the growing anti-Western sentiment in the Arab world and an
equal increase in suspicion of Islam in the West. Call it clash of civilizations
or clash of values and ideas, the Arab world has to abandon the political quagmire
and promote understanding of the west and its values as the western societies are
doing in understanding the Arab world.
The Arab League has a significant and monumental role to play to help the Arab world
keep pace with the fast-paced developments in the rest of the world. The Arab world
cannot rest on the laurels of the past. For if the Arab League cannot help reinvigorate
itself and provide modern leadership it may be unceremoniously reduced to the relic
of history.
Back to Top
September 29th, 2003
Where was the
Alliance
when Bill Sampson was in Saudi jail?
Dumping on diplomats is a convenient way to score points on domestic political scene
Dumping on diplomats is a convenient way to score points on the domestic political
scene, but it garners little or no sympathy or bears results on the international
scene. Unfortunately, this important element of international diplomacy is lost
on the Official Opposition party, the Canadian Alliance, in particular, on its foreign
affairs critic Stockwell Day.
Ottawa
's diplomatic corps will soon be reduced to a rump if every time a Canadian is allegedly
mistreated abroad, and
Canada
expels the offending country's ambassador. Yet ejection of an ambassador is precisely
what the Canadian Alliance proposes each time there is allegation of mistreatment
of a Canadian in another country.
There are almost 3,000 Canadians currently incarcerated in 120 countries, almost
three-quarters of them in the
United States
mostly for drug offences, according to
Canada
's Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade.
Millions of Canadian tourists and businesspersons rely on consular services offered
by Canadian embassies in 180 countries. The question is what course to take to offer
maximum assistance to Canadians abroad when they land in trouble. Recently Foreign
Affairs Minister Bill Graham wrote that "generally, it is not public denunciations
or threats that are most effective, but consistent behind-the-scenes diplomacy."
The Canadian Alliance obviously disagrees with this approach and much too often
acts irresponsibly by ignoring this advice and immediately calling for expulsion
of the offending country's ambassador.
Expelling an ambassador -- declaring him or her persona non grata -- is a
very serious signal of rift between two countries, which can take decades to heal,
if ever. And what, if anything, is achieved at the end of such an exercise -- a
tit-for-tat which would force the other country to also expel the Canadian ambassador
as a face-saving device at home. During the height of the Cold War,
Canada
often declared diplomats from the Soviet Union
persona non grata -- revoking
their right to stay in
Canada
or visit thereafter. This drastic action was taken when Soviet diplomats were caught
spying.
Other than expelling an ambassador, a country can temporarily recall its ambassador
as a signal of dissatisfaction with the other country's policies or treatment of
its citizen. Such action was taken recently when
Canada
recalled its ambassador to
Iran
, following the death in an Iranian jail of Canadian-Iranian photojournalist Zehra
Kazemi.
A country can also launch an international effort to pressure the offending country
to abide by international legal norms.
Canada
has launched a campaign to build international consensus to convince
Iran
to launch an investigation to bring the perpetrators of Kazemi's death to justice.
It seems to be working since
Iran
's foreign minister assured Mr. Graham in
New York
last week that the government has charged one of the intelligence officers interrogating
Ms. Kazemi, with "pre-meditated" murder. Similarly,
Canada
was recently successful to extract Albertan Bruce Balfour from custody following
a speedy trial in
Lebanon
. The Russian government was also pressured by then Foreign Affairs Minister John
Manley to successfully prosecute the intoxicated Russian diplomat responsible for
the death of an innocent
Ottawa
lawyer in a road accident. In all these cases, the Canadian Alliance foreign affairs
critic Stockwell Day was first off the mark calling for expulsion of ambassadors,
yet offering no alternative plan of action.
In the now famous case of British/Canadian Bill Sampson, imprisoned in
Saudi Arabia
and allegedly tortured for involvement in a bomb attack in
Riyadh
, there are again calls by the Canadian Alliance MPs to expel
Saudi Arabia
's Ambassador Dr. Mohammed Al-Hussaini. The question one asks is: What would be
achieved if such action was taken? First, in retaliation, the Saudi government most
likely will expel the Canadian ambassador in
Riyadh
. It may even lead to the closure of the respective embassies. Who then will then
look after the interests and welfare of some 8,000 Canadians working in the oil-rich
kingdom? It does not help to kill the messenger. By keeping lines of communications
open with
Saudi Arabia
, Canadian officials were able to provide Mr. Sampson the needed consular services
during his detention.
According to reliable sources, the Saudi Ambassador facilitated the visit of Cabinet
Minister Don Boudria in September 2002, during which he visited Mr. Sampson in his
cell and also met with the de facto
Saudi Arabia
's ruler Crown Prince Abdullah as well as other senior Saudi officials. Minister
Boudria is understood to have expressed concern about Mr. Sampson's prolonged detention
to every Saudi official he met.
Similarly, in July 2003, the Saudi Ambassador, on very short notice, arranged for
Quebec Liberal Senator Pierre De Bané to travel to
Saudi Arabia
with a message from Prime Minister Chrétien for Crown Prince Abdullah. This could
not have been facilitated without the Saudi diplomatic presence in
Ottawa
. Furthermore, at the suggestion of the Saudi Ambassador, Liberal MP Dan McTeague
travelled to
London
,
England
and successfully obtained a letter in which the victim's next of kin forgave Mr.
Sampson. This letter was instrumental in obtaining royal clemency resulting in the
release of Mr. Sampson. The Saudi embassy also arranged for
Toronto
psychiatrist Richard Oliver to visit Mr. Sampson three times in jail in
Riyadh
and on five occasions issued visas for the elder Sampson to travel to
Saudi Arabia
to see his son. All this would not have been possible without the presence of the
Saudi embassy in
Ottawa
.
While a Liberal cabinet minister Don Boudria, a Liberal Senator Pierre DeBané, a
Liberal MP Dan McTeague, and Bloc Québécois MP Stéphane Bergeron all made trips
to
Saudi Arabia
to successfully seek Mr. Sampson's release, not a single Canadian Alliance MP made
any such effort, including the Alliance MP representing Mr. Sampson senior's B.C.
riding.
The quiet behind-the-scenes diplomacy secured Mr. Sampson's release and not the
fiery Canadian Alliance rhetoric designed for domestic political consumption. The
proof is in the pudding.
Back to Top
September 22nd, 2003
Musharraf and Karzai come
calling on Chrétien
Pakistan
will seek further financial assistance to help bolster country's economy
Two internationally-pronounced personalities and darlings of the West willing to
wage war on terrorism, while struggling with democratic deficit in their respective
countries, will be in
Ottawa
this week.
Pakistan
's President Pervez Musharraf meets with Prime Minister Jean Chrétien, Cabinet ministers
and officials on Sept. 25 and 26, followed by a one-day visit the next day by
Afghanistan
's President Hamid Karzai.
While no bilateral agreements are expected to be signed during the visits, international
security situation and the fight against terrorism are likely to be two major topics
of discussion. Discussions will also focus on other global issues as well as exchange
of ideas on how to further enhance Canada‚s existing cordial relations, with these
two struggling democracies.
Foreign Affairs Minister Bill Graham visited both countries on Sept. 5 and 6 and
Prime Minister Jean Chrétien is expected to visit Canadian troops in
Kabul
at the end of his Asian visit next month.
Canada
reopened its embassy in
Afghanistan
last month with a resident ambassador and
Afghanistan
has done likewise since November 2002.
Canada
has provided some $500-million since 1990 for reconstruction of
Afghanistan
. There is no doubt that President Karzai while thanking
Canada
for this financial support will be seeking more funds and also asking ISAF to increase
its operations outside of urban areas of
Kabul
and
Kandahar
.
The porous border between
Pakistan
and
Afghanistan
enabling attacks on
U.S.
and Western forces in
Afghanistan
and the presence of Osama bin Laden remain a source of worry for the
U.S.
and its allies in their fight against international terrorism. There is also concern
about
Pakistan
's army officers and its intelligence service (ISI) agents suspected of harbouring
Taliban sympathies.
Pakistan
was one of three countries (
Saudi Arabia
and
United Arab Emirates
being the other two), which established diplomatic relations with the Taliban regime
in
Afghanistan
and was the last of them to break the relations and that only when the Taliban were
on the run.
But its partnership with the West to fight international terrorism and help make
Afghanistan
a secure democratic state has helped
Pakistan
gain respectable stature on the international scene.
Pakistan
has benefited from cancellation of its multi-billion-dollar debt to various western
countries and financial institutions in return for its help to fight terrorism.
One can assume that during his visit to Ottawa President Musharraf will seek further
financial assistance to help bolster his country's economy.
While
Canada
's $350-million two-way trade with
Pakistan
is not significant, the country's nuclear capability, geopolitical situation, role
in fighting terrorism, and the presence of a sizeable Pakistani origin community
in
Canada
, makes it an important ally.
Pakistani President General Musharraf, who came to power in a bloodless coup in
1999, resulting
Pakistan
's suspension from the Commonwealth, has since gained acceptance in the West following
Sept. 11 attacks in the
United States
, not only for his role and support in fighting terrorism but for acting as a bridge
between the West and Islamic world. General Musharraf is ideal for this role for
he is seen as a reformer -- the likes of
Turkey
's Kamal Ataturk. Musharraf, who was born in
Delhi
,
India
on Aug. 11, 1943, spent his early childhood in
Ankara
,
Turkey
, where his father was a diplomat from 1949 to 1956 and is understood to be greatly
influenced by Ataturk's sweeping reform which launched
Turkey
on the path to modernization and secularism. The expectations are, therefore, high
for President Musharraf to play an important role to being the bridge and promote
understanding between the West and Muslim world. However, he is hindered by the
strong and rising support for fundamentalist Islamic parties in
Pakistan
. This support is a reaction to the presence of Western military forces, not only
in neighbouring
Afghanistan
but now also in
Iraq
. The war on terrorism has further accentuated differences between the West and
Muslim world given that the
United States
has yet to convince a single Muslim or Arab country to deploy troops or police in
Iraq
.
Pakistan
's porous border with
India
is also point of much contention, with
India
accusing it of sending armed insurgents into the disputed
Kashmir
territory. It is alleged that tensions developed between General Musharraf and then
Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif after he ordered the withdrawal of Pakistani-backed
militants in
Kashmir
. While India insists on resolving the Kashmir dispute bilaterally with Pakistan,
time has come for it to be internationalized after half a century of failure to
resolve it.
Canada
should play a role for developing a consensus in the international community for
such an action.
Both these two key visitors to
Ottawa
, ruling strategically placed countries can help play a defining role for the West
and Muslim countries to find a way out of the current confrontational clash of civilizations
and values. And
Canada
, as a multi-ethnic, multi-religious, multicultural middle power, seems to be playing
the key role of an interlocutor.
Back to Top
September 15th, 2003
Postwar dilemma in
Iraq
and some options
The UN can play an important role in the transformation of
Iraq
into a democratic state
"Will the United Nations serve the purpose of its founding? Or will it be irrelevant?"
asked U.S. President Bush when seeking backing for his attack on
Iraq
. However, within four months, the
United States
has come full circle recognizing the important role that the world body can play
in resolving international conflicts and threats to world peace and security and
assist in nation-building. While it is no time to gloat at the American-British
military occupation's seeming failure in
Iraq
, nevertheless it is appropriate to take stock of the current situation in
Iraq
.
There is no doubt that at the end of the day, Iraqis will be better off than when
they endured abuses under former president Saddam Hussein's dictatorial regime.
But, the challenge remains: how to get to the stage when Iraqis will be in charge
of their own affairs.
In not seeing a military solution to the situation in
Iraq
, both Prime Minister Jean Chrétien and Foreign Affairs Minister Bill Graham have
rightly dismissed the deployment of any Canadian troops in
Iraq
, though
Canada
has pledged $300-million in assistance for
Iraq
.
The dilemma in Iraq is that the United States, having taken the initiative with
Britain but without the support of the United Nations to successfully remove Saddam
Hussein, is now finding it difficult to go it alone on many fronts in that country.
With Saddam Hussein still at large, the 342 confirmed coalition casualties so far
and daily killing of a couple of coalition soldiers, and the extension of tour of
duty for the U.S. Forces is contributing to the reported low morale among American
and British forces. All this has culminated in a call for additional 5,000 soldiers
but a few countries seem willing to heed the appeal.
There are currently 20,000 soldiers from 29 countries, mostly
Poland
, deployed alongside the American and British forces. The British are dispatching
3,000 additional troops to join the 11,000 already there. Will the mere presence
of additional coalition troops resolve the complicated security situation, including
porous borders with
Iran
and
Saudi Arabia
through which anti-U.S. fighters are allegedly streaming in, the Sunni-Shia tensions,
as well as attacks by remnant elements of Saddam's Baathist Party loyalists? Critics
charge that instead of eliminating terrorism, the presence of western, Christian
occupying troops in
Iraq
is a magnet for attacks by Islamic militants.
Iraq
, which previously had not known terrorism except that of Saddam Hussein's against
his own people, is now being transformed into fertile ground for terrorism. There
are currently 55,000 Iraqi police and security personnel working with the coalition
forces and President Bush has pledged to increase these to 184,000 by 2005.
Other than finding ways to cope with the challenge of military personnel, financing
the occupation is yet another headache and drain on the
U.S.
treasury. In response to President Bush's Sept. 7 request for additional $87-billion
for the war in
Iraq
, U.S. Senator Robert Byrd told a recent Senate Armed Services Committee, "Congress
is not an ATM. We have to be able to explain this new, enormous bill to the American
people." The
U.S.
military mission made up of 150,000 troops is costing $1-billion a week. And, the
projected oil revenues are not coming in as projected, partly because of the on-going
sabotage of Iraqi oil pipelines.
Add to the above concerns the fact that no weapons of mass destruction (WMD), which
were claimed to present imminent danger, have yet been found in Iraq, no al-Qaeda
links to Saddam have been verified, it is no surprise, therefore that the political
approval ratings of both U.S. President Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair
are plummeting. Mr. Bush's approval rating hovers around 55 per cent, down almost
30 points from April when he launched the attack on
Iraq
, and Mr. Blair enjoys the confidence of merely 23 per cent of the British public.
The recent shoot-outs between the U.S. and Taliban fighters in Afghanistan runs
counter to claims of having routed the terrorist outfit and further erodes confidence
in political leadership in the U.S. and Britain.
Finally, while a 25-member governing council is a good reflection of
Iraq
's demographics and a 15-member Cabinet of Iraqis has been appointed, there is no
hint of a speedy transfer of political power or a timetable for holding of elections
to transfer control of the country to the Iraqis. Although there is little recognition
and much skepticism of the U.S.-appointed Iraqi Cabinet, the 22-member Arab League
welcomed
Iraq
's foreign affairs minister Hashyar Zubari to their meeting in
Cairo
last week.
One hopeful sign in all this is a draft
U.S.
resolution currently being considered by foreign affairs ministers of the five permanent
members of the Security Council under the guidance of UN Secretary General Kofi
Annan. The resolution calls for an international force to be sent to
Iraq
to operate under the
U.S.
command, and seeks financial contributions from UN-member states to help rebuild
Iraq
but with no guarantees that any of the member-states will have a decision-making
role. Though France, a permanent member, and
Germany
, currently a member of the Security Council, remain skeptical of continuing to
allow the
United States
to exercise exclusive control over
Iraq
. It is hoped a compromise can be found in the form of a UN resolution acceptable
to the international community. The UN can then play an important role in the transformation
of
Iraq
into a democratic state.
Optimists recount foreign powers' post-war role in
Japan
and
Germany
, which subsequently emerged as democratic and economically dynamic states. Realistically,
Iraq
is far from that goal, although with UN's involvement and its recent experience
in nation-building in
Afghanistan
, Kosovo and
East Timor
could come in handy to bring normalcy to the lives of 24 million Iraqis at this
crucial time in their country's history.
Back to Top
August 11th, 2003
The
Middle East
roadmap is only hope for peace in the region and beyond
Israeli and Palestinian prime ministers trekked to the White House, within a matter
of days of each other last month to meet with United States President Bush - the
driving force who is keeping the parties on the roadmap to peace in the
Middle East
.
It was the first visit to the White House for Palestinian Prime Minister Mahmoud
Abbas and eighth for Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon.
With its hands full in
Afghanistan
and
Iraq
, and growing confrontation with a defiant alleged nuclear power
North Korea
, the Bush administration seems keen to break the impasse in the Israeli/Palestinian
conflict and is sticking to its resolve to create an independent Palestinian state
by 2005. Such an entity is envisaged in the roadmap endorsed by the international
community, including the European Union, the United Nations and
Russia
.
As leader of the sole superpower, President Bush is assuming responsibility for
diffusing the simmering conflict, which could spark for a wider conflict. The protracted
Israeli/Palestinian conflict also lies at the root cause for much of the resentment
in the Arab/ Muslim world against the
United States
. It is because the
United States
is perceived to have been playing favourite with
Israel
but President Bush wants to be seen adopting an even-handed approach in resolving
the conflict.
It will be the dawn of a new era for
United States
relations with the Arab/ Muslim world if it can help resolve the seemingly senseless
feud which sees innocent civilians killed. From
Afghanistan
to
Pakistan
to
Iraq
and
Indonesia
, the
United States
will be perceived in a different light if it succeeds in taking the parties to the
end of the roadmap.
While the road to peace in the
Middle East
is littered with discarded agreements and plans, the current roadmap offers the
best hope with a built-in timetable for necessary actions to be taken. It is not
an easy task and President Bush is gambling a fair amount of political capital in
pursuing this roadmap. He seems to be succeeding, though there is much scepticism.
He has successfully, through Palestinian Prime Minister Abbas, managed to convince
suicide bombers to provide a reprieve from attacks against Israeli civilians. The
June 29 pledge for "total cessation of violence" by Palestinian groups
is holding. It is over a month now since the last suicide bombing.
Almost 50 years ago, the United Nations General Assembly adopted Resolution 181,
partitioning Palestine, then under British mandate, into two independent states:
one Arab, one Jewish, with the city of Jerusalem to be established as a separate
entity under a special international regime and to be administered by the United
Nations. Although a Jewish state -
Israel
, materialized in the following year in 1948, no parallel Arab state ever materialized.
Therein lies the crux of the problem.
Canada
voted for the above-mentioned UN resolution and recently offered a policing force
which could monitor an internationally recognized border between
Israel
and
Palestine
.
Israel
rejects the presence of such an international force. Instead, Prime Minister Sharon's
government is building a 700-kilometres fence at a cost of U.S. $1.5-billion to
seperate the two peoples. President Bush has called this unilateral demarcation
of the land by building a wall "a problem."
According to President Bush, "It is very difficult to develop confidence between
the Palestinians and
Israel
with a wall snaking through the
West Bank
." Citing security concerns, Israeli Prime Minister told President Bush in
Washington
two weeks ago, "the security fence will continue to be built." In response,
President Bush hoped "in the long term, the fence would be irrelevant."
It is time for
Canada
to wage in and help develop confidence-building programs for Israelis and Palestinians.
Geography and history dictates that the two peoples have to live side by side. They
may as well find ways to do so in peace. The one solution would be to draw the boundary
at the internationally-accepted 1967 borders and place an international force to
keep the two sides apart.
This will allow both states to build their economies and infrastructure and the
international family of peaceful nations. If the Palestinians continue to be denied
a state of their own, there is no end in sight to the carnage that will re-visit
innocent civilians on both sides sooner than later.
The success of the roadmap will take away the raison d'être of the Osama
bin Ladens of the world for fuelling hatred against the
United States
and will allow Americans to enjoy living in a terror-free world. When one lives
in a society as free and open as that of the
United States
it is difficult to counter every terrorist threat or act.
Every American, Israeli, Palestinian - for that matter all of us deserve to live
in a terror-free world. A major step to this end is to support the efforts of President
Bush to see a successful conclusion of the journey of this roadmap with the creation
of an independent and viable Palestinian state living side by side with
Israel
in peace and security.
Canada
needs to be more vocal in support of it.
Back to Top
July 28th, 2003
Americans,
British face serious credibility test over weapons of mass destruction
Transparency is meant to be a basic tenet of democracy. But lack of it, especially
in crucial foreign policy decisions can cause much consternation in democratic states.
Such is the case now as both U.S. President George Bush and British Prime Minister
Tony Blair struggle to convince their respective citizens, of the necessity to have
waged war on
Iraq
. It seems there was little or no transparency in the decision-making process and
the one major reason -- presence of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and the threat
of their imminent use -- was based on faulty, forged and unsubstantiated intelligence.
It is not the first time, and unfortunately will not be the last, that political
expediency sidelines rational judgment. The
US
went to war in
Vietnam
when Congress was misinformed over mis-reported firing at a
U.S.
naval vessel in the
Gulf
of
Tonkin
in the 60s. British prime minister Margaret Thatcher was in a haste to dispatch
forces to fight in the Falklands in order to ensure her victory, not on the seas,
but at the general election in
Britain
.
Currently, serious questions are being asked in the
United States
and
Britain
about the credibility of intelligence justifying attacking
Iraq
. No al-Qaeda links to the Saddam regime have been established, no trace of weapons
of mass destruction (WMD) has been found nor have any weapons materialized just
as the United Nations inspectors had been stating, and no evidence or plan for the
launch of an imminent attack has yet surfaced.
And in Washington, D.C., no one is willing to take the blame for President Bush's
Jan. 28 State of the Union address, in which he told the world of evidence of Saddam
Hussein buying Uranium "from Africa." It turned out President Bush was
referring to
Niger
and the claim was based on forged and outdated documents at least a decade old.
At first, the White House blamed the British for feeding this faulty intelligence.
Then CIA Director John Tenet took the blame for not flagging the information before
the President delivered the State of the Union address to Congress and the nation.
A few days later, when it turned out that the CIA had indeed cautioned the White
House against using the information in two separate memos dating as far back as
Oct. 5 and Oct. 6, the blame was then put on Stephen Hadley, the deputy national
security adviser for not deleting the false reference to the Niger uranium purchase
from the State of the Union address.
In
London
, a similar -- pass-the-blame game is being played with a war of words between the
national broadcaster BBC and Prime Minister Blair's Office. Mr. Blair's much touted
dossier of evidence against President Saddam Hussein turned out to be nothing more
than a forgery of a decade-old American student's PhD thesis. It has since come
to be known as the "doggy dossier."
When a respected British scientist, Dr. David Kelly, who had been to Iraq at least
37 times as part of the weapons inspections teams, was quoted anonymously by the
BBC questioning the validity of claims by Prime Minister Blair's Office of the existence
of weapons of mass destruction, it is claimed the Ministry of Defence revealed his
identity. By making the identity of the source public, it led to the alleged suicide
of Dr. Kelly. Prime Minister Blair had claimed Saddam Hussein could launch weapons
in "45 minutes" but the good Dr. Kelly challenged this in conversations
with three journalists. While no one is taking the blame for making Dr. Kelly's
name public, Prime Minister Blair's Office is understood to be wanting Defence Minister
Geoff Hoon to take the fall. The British have set up an inquiry headed by Lord Hutton
to look into this sorry saga.
While there may have been faulty intelligence conveniently used by leaders in both
the U.S. and U.K., one ought not to question the existence of myriad of other reasons
that required his removal, including history and threat of invasion of neighbouring
countries. However, there are those who claim that while Saddam was a "threat
to international peace," he was a "contained threat."
There is no doubt that sooner than later the Iraqis will begin to lead normal lives
-- fear-free of the Saddam regime. The Coalition Provisional Authority -- better
sounding name than an occupation force -- is attempting to deliver basic necessities
to the Iraqi civilian population. It will take time to restore the long neglected
infrastructure and provide water and electricity to the Iraqis. But there is understandable
impatience on the part of the Iraqi people, who, perhaps unrealistically, were promised
a better life far too soon.
While British and American troops are fighting to bring democracy to
Iraq
, leaders of democracies in
London
and
Washington
are realizing that credible foreign and defence policy decisions ought to be based
on credible intelligence and as much transparency as possible.
There will, no doubt, be greater scrutiny in the future of any military decisions
made in
Washington
, or
London
, or
Paris
for that matter. The Iraqi affair has, however, enhanced the credibility of one
organization, the United Nations, which has come out unscathed from this whole affair.
Back to Top
June 30th, 2003
Whither
U.S.A.
?
U.S.
doesn't know what it's scared of
America
is a strong, yet scared, but resilient nation as it celebrates its 227th anniversary
of independence this week.
America
is scared but it does not know what it should be afraid of. Should it be afraid
of nations developing nuclear capabilities, or hostile Muslim/Arab countries or
is the enemy within as Sept. 11 demonstrated. It must be extremely frustrating that
almost two years after the Sept. 11 horror, ordinary Americans do not know who the
enemy is. The orange to yellow to red alerts issued by the U.S. Homeland Security
Office continue to play havoc with American life.
At least during the Cold War, there was a clearly identified enemy -- Communism,
but not so now. Although President Bush has identified terrorism as the enemy No.
1, yet there is no firm shape or form to the enemy. Often it is a moving target
-- from Osama bin Laden to Saddam Hussein to
Iran
to
North Korea
. As evidenced by Sept. 11, the enemy could be within, at home, which makes Americans
even more uncomfortable. It could be lurking in Mosques or as students at flying
schools.
Osama bin Laden, the alleged mastermind of the Sept. 11 attacks is still on the
loose. So is former Iraqi president Saddam Hussein. The unknown whereabouts of these
two arch-enemies of the
United States
further compounds the discomfort of Americans. How can they feel safe when these
two "enemies" of the
United States
are still lurking out there perhaps even planning another attack.
The
United States
took the appropriate action to attack
Afghanistan
and dismantle the Taliban government. Ironically, this ruthless Taliban regime in
Afghanistan
was propped up and recognized by none other than three of the closest allies of
the
United States
--
Pakistan
,
Saudi Arabia
and the
United Arab Emirates
. While the Taliban may be on the run, the task of restoring any semblance of a
functioning society in
Afghanistan
is far from over, other than in the capital city
Kabul
and second large city
Kandahar
. While
Bangladesh
and
Turkey
are making significant troop contribution the
United States
is relying on troops from
Australia
,
Canada
and
Poland
to restore civility in
Afghanistan
. Why not deploy more troops from Arab/Muslim countries with the necessary cultural
sensitivities?
Before securing the situation, especially security in
Afghanistan
, the
United States
successfully took on Saddam Hussein and now seems anxious to tackle
Iran
. It has for the moment backed away from confrontation with
North Korea
. One must recognize that such regime-change tactics are nothing new to
U.S.
foreign policy. They had been temporarily subdued after embarrassing revelations
of CIA complicity in toppling and assassinating democratically elected leader Allende
in
Chile
in 1973. Then, it was the crusade against Communism. But, what is motivating these
adventures now? Is it the western/Christian versus Arab/Islamic divide -- or clash
of religions and values? Is it a foreign policy driven by economics, in particular
control of resources? Whatever it is, is not clear, and presents no clear pattern
other than nefarious notion of fighting terrorism, at home and abroad.
Most of the Islamic world is bereft of any semblance of many basic freedoms and
individual rights enjoyed and taken for granted in the West such as freedom of assembly,
speech, worship, gender equality, and protection of minorities. By its overzealous
pursuit of anti-terrorism agenda, the
United States
threatens to erode some of these very basic rights that distinguish it from the
rest of the non-Western world. In this blatant clash of religions and values, the
United States
should not allow erosion of hard-won and long cherished "western values."
No one doubts the unchallenged military might of the
United States
, but it will take more than that to win the hearts and minds of the people in
Afghanistan
and
Iraq
and in the larger Arab/Muslim world. It will take resolve and skill to settle the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict which is the root cause of much of the resentment against
the
United States
around the world.
There is concern that the
United States
is not playing ball with its traditional allies. The trans-Atlantic link is weakening
as evidenced in recent verbal skirmishes in NATO, once the unquestioned defender
of western values. Its relations with the European Union are weakening and its leadership
questioned and challenged, albeit in hush tones, in many multilateral forums.
As the world leader, it is incumbent for the
United States
to take the lead and act alone as it did in the case of
Iraq
, despite the protestations of the United Nations. If it had not done so, Saddam
Hussein would still be making life miserable for millions of his people and presenting
a lingering threat to his neighbours. But as world leader, its future lies in collaboration
with new allies and keeping trusted ones such as
Canada
on side. In this respect, it is rearranging its relations, gaining new allies such
as
Poland
and dumping old ones such as
France
and
Germany
.
At the end of the day, no other country in recent history has guaranteed its citizens
more freedoms than those enjoyed by the Americans. Therefore, while the
United States
lives on edge in this trying and challenging time in its history, it is only fitting
and appropriate for all freedom loving people to support it at this moment in its
history.
Happy July 4,
America
!
Back to Top
June 23rd, 2003
A tale of two countries,
Cuba
and
Myanmar
Cuba
and
Myanmar
(formerly
Burma
) are two countries, oceans apart, on different continents, and
Canada
follows two divergent policies towards them. It is "constructive engagement"
with
Cuba
, but isolation of
Myanmar
. Yet both these policies have had little impact on the leadership of the respective
countries. President Fidel Castro has ruled
Cuba
since the revolution in 1959 and
Myanmar
's military regime has retained control since 1988.
Cuba
and
Myanmar
recently again attracted world attention for human rights violations of their citizens.
Some weeks ago
Cuba
arrested and summarily executed a handful of its citizens it claims were engaged
in subversive activities against the state. A couple of weeks ago, the military
regime in Myanmar re-arrested National League for Democracy leader and Nobel Peace
Prize recipient Aung San Suu Kyi and placed her in protective custody following
disturbances and killings during her visit to the north of the country.
The two countries show little or no sign of embarking on meaningful and sincere
efforts towards democratization of their respective societies.
Cuba
's Peoples Power Assembly is elected with only a single candidate for each constituency.
When the National League for Democracy (NLD) led by Aung San Suu Kyi, won national
elections in 1990 with an overwhelming majority, the governing military junta repudiated
the results claiming a new constitution must be passed before power could be handed
over. No such constitution has yet emerged thereby allowing the military regime
to continue its rule.
Both countries are dictatorships with political prisoners and no intention of introducing
reforms to encourage democracy and expression of freedom. Yet, in the case of
Cuba
,
Canada
maintains an embassy with an ambassador but not so in
Myanmar
. The Canadian embassy in neighbouring
Thailand
monitors developments in
Myanmar
.
Canada
has maintained unbroken relations with
Cuba
since 1945 and was one of the only two countries in the hemisphere (along with
Mexico
) not to break relations with
Cuba
following the Cuban Revolution in 1959.
Canada
encourages trade and economic links with
Cuba
but restricts any commercial activity with
Myanmar
. Two-way Canada-Cuba trade totalled $756-million, an increase of $12-million over
the previous year.
Canada
is
Cuba
's third largest global trading partner (following
Venezuela
and
Spain
), and second largest foreign investor (after
Spain
).
Canada
suspended commercial relations with
Myanmar
in 1988, along with support for Canadian firms doing business in the country.
Canadians make up the largest source of tourists to
Cuba
, with 400,000 visitors in 2001. The direct convenient flights from
Ottawa
,
Montreal
and
Toronto
to the sunny and pristine beaches of Varadero supply precious foreign exchange to
the island government of President Fidel Castro.
Secretary of State Denis Paradis led a business delegation last November to the
20th Havana International Trade Fair where more than 90 Canadian companies were
represented. No such Canadian commercial representation is supported by
Canada
in
Myanmar
. Minister Paradis' visit was the first ministerial visit in almost four years after
a high-profile visit by Prime Minister Chrétien and former foreign affairs minister
Lloyd Axworthy during which they failed to secure the release of Cuban political
prisoners.
Canada
maintains an annual $3-million to $5-million development assistance program to
Cuba
but no such program exists in
Myanmar
.
Canada
, under foreign affairs minister Lloyd Axworthy, instituted an extensive assistance
program geared towards democratic development but there is little or no result to
show for it.
While
Canada
has been eager and willing partner for dialogue with
Cuba
it has shunned any such action vis-à-vis
Myanmar
. However, a week ago Foreign Affairs Minister Bill Graham attended a luncheon with
Ottawa-based ASEAN ambassadors in the presence of Ambassador U Nyunt Tin of
Myanmar
.
Myanmar
was welcomed to the 10-country regional organization ASEAN in 1997 despite objections
by the European Union and
Canada
. While the EU has reopened the annual dialogue with ASEAN despite the presence
of
Myanmar
,
Canada
has not followed suit except the recent presence of Minister Graham at the ASEAN
ambassadors' luncheon in
Ottawa
. It is not clear whether this is a new beginning or a one-time occurrence.
Canada
remains concerned with trafficking and production of drugs which help fuel the coffers
of the ruling generals in
Myanmar
.
Myanmar
is listed as the largest source of heroin entering
Canada
. But, a few years ago,
Canada
refused to attend an Interpol, the international police agency meeting in
Myanmar
, to deal with the drug problem.
Japan
is helping
Myanmar
farmers switch from opium growing to wheat cultivation and the European Union is
spending five million Euros for similar crop substitution programs. The
United States
government is also helping the
Myanmar
government conduct anti-narcotic surveys. The Australian government is holding human
rights workshops in
Myanmar
attended by government officials in the hope of the concept taking root in this
important segment of society.
The question
Canada
has to answer is: why is it good to engage in dialogue with
Cuba
but not with
Myanmar
? Unfortunately thus far the end result has been the same: no tangible results to
show for
Canada
's pursuit of policies in both
Cuba
and
Myanmar
. Perhaps it is time to revisit the question of when and when not to engage in dialogue
with another country to bring about meaningful change?
Back to Top
June 9th, 2003
Bravo to U.S.
President Bush
Bush also tackles issue in first term as opposed to waiting until safety of his
second term
Bravo to President Bush! Because of his efforts, there is new hope and momentum
in the
Middle East
to resolve the lingering Israeli-Palestinian conflict, which has claimed thousands
of innocent lives on both sides.
The United States President whom some least expected to tackle international issues
is doing just that. However, Mr. Bush is familiar with the region -- its complexities
and challenges. As Governor of Texas, he visited
Israel
in the company of, among others, Paul Cellucci, then Massachusetts Governor and
now Ambassador to
Canada
. Cynics citing foreign policy not to be President Bush's forté are reluctantly
commending his foray into the murky minefields of the
Middle East
. He has also taken to resolve this simmering issue during his first term in office
as opposed to waiting until the safety of his second term.
After last week's summits in Evian, Sharm el-Sheikh, and Aqaba, President Bush's
Middle East Roadmap is on track. At the summit in Evian, he received endorsement
for the roadmap from all the G8 leaders. Since coming to office, British Prime Minister
Tony Blair has also spent considerable effort and time in gaining the confidence
of the parties to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and has been a strong proponent
of resolving it. His Foreign Secretary Jack Straw mentioned the importance of settling
this conflict when he told London Lord Mayor's Easter Banquet on April 30, "We
will never establish lasting stability in the Middle East until its most intractable
dispute is resolved: the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians."
The settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian dispute will also take away much of the
anti-American resentment in the Muslim and Arab world, which perceives the U.S.-backing
of
Israel
as hindering Palestinians‚ desire for statehood. There is no dispute among international
political observers that peace between Israelis and Palestinians will help tremendously
in the fight against terrorism. It will take away the raison d'être of the terrorists
that
U.S.
support for
Israel
is anti-Islam.
At last Tuesday's Sharm el-Sheikh meeting with select Arab leaders, President Bush
sought and received assurances for them "to cut off assistance and the flow
of money and weapons to terrorist groups, and to help Prime Minister Abbas rid Palestinian
areas of terrorism." The following day in Aqaba at the meeting with President
Bush and Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, Palestinian Prime Minister Mahmoud
Abbas pledged "a complete end to violence and terrorism." He added, "Our
goal is two states,
Israel
and
Palestine
, living side-by-side, in peace and security."
In response, Israeli Prime Minister Sharon said "there is now hope of a new
opportunity for peace between Israelis and Palestinians," and added, "It
is in
Israel
's interest not to govern the Palestinians, but for Palestinians to govern themselves
in their own state." On the contentious issue of Jewish settlements in the
Palestinian areas, Mr. Sharon promised to "immediately begin to remove unauthorized
outposts."
Both Israeli and Palestinian Prime Ministers also recognized the futility of a military
solution.
With these pledges, the first stage of President Bush's roadmap seems to have been
accomplished. However, for the roadmap to stay on track, it is important that it
keeps going without any interruption despite occasional acts of violence. Otherwise,
the process will become hostage to extremists and fanatics opposed to a peaceful
settlement on both sides of the conflict.
One has to talk to one's enemy to achieve any semblance of peace. If one does not
talk to one's enemy, who does one make peace with? In this regard, talks between
arch enemy camps in
South Africa
, led by Mr. Nelson Mandela and then President de Klerk, provide a prime example
of conflicts surrounded by fear, emotion and brutality which can be resolved through
dialogue.
One major difference between President Bush's roadmap and previous attempts to resolve
this conflict is the presence on the ground of a monitoring mission, led by newly-appointed
Ambassador John Wolf, to ensure that parties are fulfilling their responsibilities.
President Bush has also asked both Secretary of State Colin Powell and National
Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice, "to make this cause a matter of highest
priority."
The roadmap embarks on the second to last phase until December, 2003 during which
increased contacts will be established between
Israel
and the Palestinian Authority, including Palestinian elections and an international
conference with the final phase resulting in a viable Palestinian state in 2005.
Many contentious issues such as the final status of
Jerusalem
and the right of Palestinians to return to their former homes will no doubt feature
in the tough negotiations.
Prime Minister Jean Chrétien has offered peacekeepers or military monitors, if and
when the need will arise. Once provisional borders have been established the presence
of such a policing and monitoring force will be essential to help them make permanent
and secure. The Canadian Forces‚ communications technology could make a useful contribution.
At the conclusion of last week's meetings, President Bush said "great and hopeful
change is coming to the
Middle East
." But, he also cautioned "The journey we're taking is difficult, but
there is no other choice." Nothing could be further from the truth and the
initiative deserves all the goodwill it can muster.
Back to Top
June 2nd, 2003
The
Middle East
roadmap
No shortage of hard-liners on both sides, only the brave and committed will deliver
peace
There is cautious but also growing optimism in the
Middle East
this week. The credit for it goes to United States President George Bush, Israeli
Prime Minister Ariel Sharon and Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Mahmoud Abbas.
There is obviously a supporting cast of world leaders who have contributed to this
week's unfolding of historic events.
While there is a sufficient amount of skepticism surrounding the Middle East Roadmap
and its ultimate success, one is hopeful given the political capital the United
States President is expending by visiting the troubled region and holding face-to-face
meetings with the key players who can help resolve the protracted Israeli-Palestinian
conflict.
One ought not to underestimate the challenges on the road to peace. Admittedly,
the cynics of the Roadmap's success are not far-off the mark either. As the U.S.
National Security Adviser, Dr. Condolezza Rice last week observed, it is going to
be "a very long and difficult road." But according to her, "The President
believes this is a new opportunity for peace at the end of the war in
Iraq
."
Following the G8 Summit in
France
, President Bush will first travel to the Egyptian Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh
on Tuesday, June 3, to meet with
Egypt
's President Mubarak,
Saudi Arabia
's Crown Prince Abdallah,
Jordan
's King Abdullah, and
Bahrain
's King Hamad. He will likely secure the same commitment as given last year by all
Arab League members at their Beirut Summit in the Saudi Crown Prince Abdallah peace
plan, recognizing the State of Israel and entering into relations, including trade,
with
Israel
in return for an independent Palestinian state.
On Wednesday, June 4, President Bush will travel to Aqaba for bilateral talks with
Palestinian Prime Minister Abbas and Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon immediately
followed by a trilateral summit, "conditions permitting," cautions the
White House.
Although
Israel
has expressed 14 reservations about the Roadmap, Prime Minister Sharon a week ago
successfully secured his Cabinet's approval for the first time for the creation
of an independent Palestinian state, by a vote of 11 to seven, with four abstentions.
The Palestinians have endorsed the Roadmap without any reservations.
Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon stunned his Likud Party legislators on May 26
when he told them, "To keep three-and-half million Palestinians under occupation
is bad for
Israel
and the Palestinians. This cannot continue forever...We don't like the word, but
this is occupation." The operative word in official Israeli circles thus far
has been "administered" or "disputed" but not "occupied"
territories.
With the Palestinian population expected to double in the next 20 years, Prime Minister
Sharon is being realistic about the impact this will have on the concept not only
of Israel as a Jewish state, but also on its economy. "Today there are 1.8
million Palestinians fed by international organizations,"
Sharon
said, "Would you like to take this upon yourselves? Where will we get the money?"
There is no shortage of hard-liners on both sides willing to disrupt the peace process.
But only the brave and committed will be able to deliver the much-coveted peace.
As is well-recognized, only Richard Nixon could travel and make in-roads into developing
relations with China almost three decades ago, and two decades ago Zimbabwe could
become independent only under British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, perhaps
Ariel Sharon is the man of the moment, at age 75, to bring peace and security not
only to his people but to the Palestinians and the region.
Fortunately, Prime Ministers Sharon and Abbas have met face-to-face twice already
prior to their proposed joint meeting with President Bush this Wednesday.
Canada
seems to be missing in all this hive of activity surrounding the
Middle East
peace process. Following the release of the Middle East Roadmap on April 30 by the
Quartet -- the United Nations, the
United States
, the European Union, and
Russia
, Foreign Affairs Minister Bill Graham immediately welcomed it. He expressed hope
that "even in the shadow of continuing violence and terrorism, the prospects
for peace in the region will be bolstered by the release of the Roadmap."
However, the Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade's web-site on
the Middle East Peace Process has not been updated since April 24 and requests for
information on
Canada
's contribution to the peace process are yet to be answered. This is uncalled for,
given
Canada
's significant contribution to the peace process in the
Middle East
. Former Prime Minister Lester Pearson won the Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts,
as then Secretary of State for External Affairs, in resolving the Suez Crisis.
Canada
has played an important role in both humanitarian assistance and peacekeeping operations
in the region since the start of hostilities some five decades ago. It currently
holds the chair of the Working Group on Refugees, an important and sensitive issue
to the resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
The fact that the leader of the sole superpower, United States President Bush, is
willing to risk political capital on securing peace in the
Middle East
and give the process a much needed impetus gives one hope, notwithstanding an army
of cynics. Who knows by the time President Bush hosts the next G8 Summit next year,
probably in
Texas
, he would have succeeded to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Back to Top
May 26th, 2003
Canada
must act now in the
Congo
It remains to be seen what
Canada
will do to take lead to help bring order, avoid genocide
Canada
must act and act now in the
Congo
. For all its talk of wanting to be there when it counts, the time is now for
Canada
to take the lead and muster an international response to the daily killings and
impending genocide in the
Congo
.
Prime Minister Jean Chrétien seemed to realize the urgency when he told a joint
press conference with visiting French Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin, in
Ottawa
last Thursday, "We have an obligation. It is a very sad situation in
Congo
. We have problems in all over the world, and
Africa
is always neglected."
The Prime Minister promised
Canada
will collaborate with
France
and other countries to respond to the United Nations appeal for assistance to restore
order to this vast and mineral-rich country of 52 million people.
Prime Minister Chrétien could not have a better team of experts on
Congo
than his foreign policy adviser Claude Laverdure who has served twice in the
Congo
the last time as Ambassador from 1988 to 1993.
Canada
's Ambassador to France and Prime Minister's nephew Raymond Chrétien is equally
knowledgeable having served in the
Congo
. He was also at the
Ottawa
meeting on May 22 with the visiting French Prime Minister where
Congo
must have come up.
It remains to be seen what
Canada
does to take the lead to help bring order and avoid genocide in Bunia in the Ituri
region of the eastern part of the
Congo
on the border with
Uganda
.
The people of the Democratic Republic of Congo, formerly known as
Zaire
, have not known peace and tranquility since gaining independence from
Belgium
in 1960. Belgian King Leopold ruled it as his personal fiefdom even naming the capital
Leopoldville, now called
Kinshasa
.
Part of the problem stems from the fact the country is mineral-rich and fell prey
not only to colonial, but became a pawn in the Cold War. The country produces cobalt,
copper, cadmium, petroleum, diamonds, gold, silver, zinc, manganese, lead, germanium,
uranium, radium, bauxite, iron ore, coal, hydroelectricity, and coltan which is
used in computers and cellular phones.
In 1965, Joseph (later renamed himself Sese Seko) Mobutu seized power in a military
coup established a most vicious dictatorial regime and ruled with the blessing of
the West, especially the
United States
, until 1997. Apart from
Zaire
's riches, its location provided an ideal launching pad for incursions into
Angola
and other countries unsympathetic to the West. However, at the end of the Cold War,
Zaire
was of no geo-political use to the
United States
and it abandoned it.
With the disappearance of
U.S.
support for President Mobutu, it did not take long to oust him in 1997 and be replaced
with Laurent-Desire Kabila, who in turn was killed and succeeded by his son 32-year
old son Joseph Kabila in January, 2001.
Young Kabila's efforts to bring about peace have not been successful because of
interference from not only neighbouring countries but those from afar to use local
militias as proxies:
Rwanda
is backing the Rally for Congolese Democracy (RCD) militia and
Uganda
backs the Movement for Liberation of Congo (MLC) faction. However, these Ugandan
and Rwandan backed militias are united in opposing the Kabila government, while
Angola
,
Namibia
,
Chad
, and
Zimbabwe
are backing it.
The military action is based in the mineral-rich eastern Kivu province where the
historic rivals Hema and Lendu ethnic groups are killing each other. The United
Nations estimates that since 1999, some 50,000 civilians have died in the Ituri
region alone and 2.5 million have died throughout the
Congo
since the beginning of the current phase of the conflict in 1998. Last week two
UN military observers from
Jordan
and
Malawi
were killed.
The mandate of the 5,537 military personnel operating as MONUC -- the United Nations
Mission in the
Democratic Republic of the Congo
is to expire on June 30, 2003. The European Union is considering UN request for
peacekeepers.
France
has been asked for 1,000 troops but is asking other countries to join and wants
deployment for only a limited period. It is commendable that a country like
Uruguay
has 700 troops in the
Congo
in the trouble spot Bunia and additional troops from
Bangladesh
and
South Africa
are expected to be deployed in July or August.
The South African government has been played a constructive role and was instrumental
in bringing the warring factions to sign a ceasefire in
Lusaka
,
Zambia
, in July 1999. In keeping with the Lusaka Agreement, Ugandan troops withdrew completely
from
Congo
last week. But their withdrawal led to 248 people being killed and 20,000 refugees
followed the soldiers into
Uganda
for fear of personal safety.
Africans would rather have a country such as
Canada
, with no colonial baggage, at the forefront of efforts to help restore peace and
order in the
Congo
than any former colonial power that often have their own agenda.
Canada
's initiative will also help give currency to the Prime Minister's pet project NEPAD
- New Partnership for
Africa
's Development.
Back to Top
May 19th, 2003
Bush's
Middle East
road map a commendable first step
But he may be gambling heavily
"We will never establish lasting stability in the Middle East until its most
intractable dispute is resolved: the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians,"
British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw told London Lord Mayor's Easter Banquet on
April 30, 2003. Of course, this observation comes as no surprise to observers of
the
Middle East
. But the lack of any credible movement towards this goal surprises many.
U.S. President George Bush's Middle East Roadmap presented on the same day as Foreign
Secretary Jack Straw's remarks is drawing some but not credibly heavy and convincing
traffic on the road to a tangible peace. But then it is the
Middle East
-- a region with a history of hostilities and some claim time on its side.
President Bush has taken a commendable and responsible step to present the roadmap
and dispatched his Secretary of State Colin Powell to the region for direct consultations.
By so doing, he may be gambling heavily. But it is a gamble worth taking. Many a
U.S.
president, from Jimmy Carter and more recently Bill Clinton, have tried and come
empty handed in their search for a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
But unlike his predecessors, President Bush has the political currency to effect
change in the Middle East following recent
U.S.
action in
Iraq
.
Under President Bush, the
United States
defeated the Taliban in
Afghanistan
and removed President Saddam Hussein in
Iraq
. In so doing, in both instances, it helped liberate people living under these brutal
regimes. People in the West, especially
United States
citizens, are surprised by the muted rather than the expected boisterous welcome
for the
U.S.
troops. The reason while not simple, lies to a major degree in the perceived lukewarm
effort by the
United States
to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. If the American administration could
put as much effort and energy to resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as it
did into liberating
Afghanistan
and
Iraq
, it would receive a hearty and warm welcome in the Arab world. Until that happens,
it will continue to face not only strained relations with the Arab world but also
face serious challenges to its presence in the region, as evidenced by the recent
bombing of westerners in
Saudi Arabia
.
Fortunately, the Americans are not planning to be long-term occupiers in
Iraq
. Unlike the British and French colonial empires, the Americans have declared their
intention to install local government at the earliest.
The
U.S.
will do well to stake its future with its allies in the
Middle East
and concentrate in finding a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In return
for resolving this protracted problem, the
U.S.
will win the hearts and minds of the Arab world without firing a shot. No doubt,
even here it will face challenges and resistance from Islamic fundamentalists who
will want to turn it into a battle between the Muslims and infidels.
However, this challenge can easily be overcome because of the reservoir of goodwill
that the
U.S.
can garner once it resolves the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. This will help neutralize
the Islamic fundamentalists, who constantly present a threat not only to the
U.S.
, but also to legitimate Arab governments. The
U.S.
and Arab world has enjoyed a close and mutually beneficial relationship during the
Cold War and there is no reason for this to change.
On another front, the Arab world is also acutely aware that the
United States
is the only country that can help bring about economic development and prosperity
to the region. An example of this is the close and mutually beneficial economic
cooperation which the
Saudi
Kingdom
has enjoyed with the
United States
. It is exemplary to the rest of the Arab world. Just as no one can deny that the
economies of
Japan
,
Korea
,
Israel
,
Taiwan
and now
China
have prospered because of their cooperation with the
United States
and American investment has been the key to prosperity in these countries. On the
other hand countries such as
India
, which fuelled anti-Americanism during the Cold War and aligned more with the now-defunct
Soviet Union
, have yet to catch up with the prosperous economies in the region.
Where does
Canada
fit in all this?
Canada
can and should play a cooperative and, where necessary, an actively-supporting role
to ensure greater effort for resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The resolution
of this conflict will not only bring peace and prosperity to the region but also
to the
United States
,
Canada
and be beneficial to the economies of
Europe
.
One of the first acts
Canada
must undertake is to re-open its embassy in
Baghdad
. It is imperative that
Canada
find a role alongside the
United States
to help restore law and order to help create a democratic
Iraq
, so richly-deserved by Iraqis after such prolonged and miserable existence under
lengthy dictatorships. This could be exemplary to the peaceful co-existence of Israeli
and Palestinian states.
Europe is already on side for playing an active role in resolving the Israeli-Palestinian
issue, so is
Russia
. The world awaits the sole superpower -- the
United States
-- to act and act swiftly. For as British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw states only
then there will be lasting peace and stability in the
Middle East
.
Back to Top
May 12th, 2003
NMD suddenly lands with a
giant thud
OTTAWA
--The National Missile Defence (NMD) system has suddenly descended on the Canadian
political scene raising more questions and concerns than providing answers. Both
the Cabinet and Liberal caucus have recently been seized with discussions on this
U.S.-proposed military program.
For months, Prime Minister Jean Chrétien refused to respond to persistent questioning
about
Canada
's participation in the NMD system, insisting such inquiries were hypothetical since
the
United States
had not asked
Canada
to participate in any discussions on the development of such a system. So, what
has changed? Has the
United States
now formally asked for
Canada
to participate? Last week, the Prime Minister did not give a clear answer to this
question in the House.
Canadian officials from the departments of Foreign Affairs and International Trade
and National Defence have been meeting their counterparts in
Washington
,
D.C.
, but no formal announcement has been forthcoming on the NMD.
So, what factors have prompted this sudden surge of interest in discussing the National
Missile Defence proposal? For one, Liberal leadership contender and frontrunner
Paul Martin a fortnight ago on CTV Question Period expressed his support
for a North American missile defence system. His position was immediately endorsed,
not only by Defence Minister John McCallum, already an NMDer, but also by Foreign
Affairs Minister Bill Graham, who until now has been reluctant to come out wholeheartedly
in support of development and deployment of such a weapons system.
While Canadian Parliamentarians are engaged in discussing when and if the
United States
has asked for
Canada
's participation, the development of such a system is assumed to be already underway.
President George Bush gave the go-ahead for such a missile defence system on Dec.
17, 2002, when he said: "I have directed the Secretary of Defence to proceed
with fielding an initial set of missile defence capabilities. We plan to begin operating
these initial capabilities in 2004 and 2005, and they will include ground-based
interceptors, sea-based interceptors, additional Patriot (PAC-3) units, and sensors
based on land, at sea, and in space."
In the same statement, President Bush also announced his intention to seek agreement
from the
United Kingdom
and
Denmark
to upgrade early-warning radars on their territory. However, no mention was made
of
Canada
. The U.S. President was probably presuming that
Canada
will be a willing partner, given the 50-year history of partnership in NORAD --
the North American Aerospace Defence Agreement, a Canada-U.S. bilateral agreement
which served well as an early-warning system during the Cold War.
The NMD is meant to be a more sophisticated defence system than the current early
warning NORAD. President Bush has said the development of the missile defence system
is part of his commitment "to transform
America
's national security strategic defence capabilities to meet the threats of the 21st
century." He is pledging to protect
U.S.
citizens against "the gravest danger of all: the catastrophic harm that may
result from hostile states or terrorist groups armed with weapons of mass destruction
and the means to deliver them."
The naysayers to NMD are questioning what countries today have the resources or
even capabilities to launch sophisticated missiles in the direction of
North America
.
While the proposed NMD is touted as a "defence" system, some critics ask,
how long will it be before it transforms into an offensive weapon?
And what amount of sovereignty is
Canada
willing to give up by participating in an exclusively U.S.-run NMD system? Will
Canada
have a say in its development and delivery decisions? If
Canada
participates, will it be perceived as an extension of the
United States
or will it be able to continue to play an independent role in world affairs? What
economic benefits will accrue to Canadian companies? Or will it be only a handful
that will get a few contracts in the building of NMD system?
While President Bush talks about developing a security system suitable for the 21st
Century, the Sept. 11 terrorist attackers carried crude but lethal box-cutters.
Is it then worth spending billions of dollars on developing sophisticated weapons
when the enemy may be lurking amongst us? Or do we need to do a bit of both -- develop
sophisticated defence systems as well as heavily finance security and intelligence
services?
There is also concern about fool-proof deployment of NMD system. Former president
Clinton just prior to the end of his term was hesitant and uncomfortable and ultimately
not willing to give the go-ahead to the new and yet un-tested missile defence system.
It failed 14 of the 17 experiments performed!
Will the development of this system lead to increased presence of weapons in space?
Canada
accepts the current use of space for navigation, mapping, arms control and verification
purposes but is against weaponization of space. It has expressed strong concerns
on this matter and with other countries is actively engaged in drafting an international
treaty ensuring outer space remains as free as possible of weapons.
Canada
has to decide whether to jump into the NMD sandbox. For once in there, it may not
be easy to jump out without "consequences!"
Back to Top
May 5th, 2003
Bush's bent on resolving
Israeli-Palestinian conflict
OTTAWA
--The most recent roadmap for resolution of the
Middle East
conflict, presented on April 30, is yet another on the road already littered with
peace proposals. As with previous such plans and agreements -- from Camp David I
and II, the Madrid Conference, the Oslo Accord, the Crown Prince Abdullah plan,
to name some, this one is also being initially heralded with much hope and fanfare
and the usual dose of caution and cynicism.
The road map is the work of a Quartet -- the United Nations, the European Union,
the
United States
and
Russia
. In his June 24 speech U.S. President George Bush talked of a final and comprehensive
settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict by 2005. This initiative was welcomed
by the E.U.,
Russia
and the UN and led to the drawing up of the road map.
However, it faces many daunting challenges. The unfolding of the roadmap was marred
by the killing of Israeli civilians in a suicide bomb attack and the killing of
civilian Palestinians as a result of Israeli military incursion into
Gaza
. The Palestinian Authority (PA) Minister Nabil Shaath said the PA "accepted
the roadmap in total -- without conditions." Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon
in an interview in Israeli newspaper Haaretz
expressed reservations about the roadmap on security, implementation of stages
and the right of return sought by Palestinians. Despite these reservations, Prime
Minister Sharon has indicated his government's willingness to make "painful
concessions" to ensure the success of the roadmap. The
U.S.
Presidential election in the 2004 also does not augur well for the success of this
initiative, which will require tremendous political and diplomatic skills and resources
to see it to its final destination.
The roadmap will succeed only if it has the personal support of President Bush.
Following a successful operation in
Iraq
in dismissing Saddam Hussein, President Bush seems bent on resolving the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict, which fuels much resentment of the
United States
in the region. British Prime Minister and French President Jacques Chirac have also
been instrumental to having the Israeli-Palestinian conflict resolved.
There is also optimism because Israeli and American officials will be able to engage
in dialogue with the newly-installed Prime Minister of the Palestinian Authority,
Abu Mazan. Senior
U.S.
and Israeli officials have refused to meet with Palestinian Authority President
Yasser Arafat. While Prime Minister Abu Mazen conducts negotiations on the roadmap
for
Middle East
peace, Arafat remains on the side-lines as the symbol of Palestinian struggle.
Canada, which has a long history of involvement in the Middle East, dating back
to awarding of the Nobel Peace Prize to then secretary of state for External Affairs
Lester B. Pearson for his efforts in averting the Suez crisis and later providing
peacekeepers and monitors in Sinai, and the Golan Heights, can play an equally important
role to help implement the present road map.
The first phase of the roadmap calls for ending terror and violence, normalizing
Palestinian life and building Palestinian institutions. The Palestinians are to
"immediately undertake an unconditional cessation of violence," and
Israel
is to withdraw from "Palestinian areas occupied from Sept. 28, 2000 and the
two sides are to restore the status quo that existed at that time.
Israel
is to freeze all settlement activity.
The Arab states are to cut off public and private funding and all other forms of
support for groups supporting and engaging in violence and terror. All donors providing
budgetary support for the Palestinians channel these funds through the Palestinian
Ministry of Finance's Single Treasury Account. Steps are to be taken to draft a
constitution for Palestinian statehood, an independent election commission. These
are areas in which
Canada
could be of assistance but the initial official response from the Department of
Foreign Affairs and International Trade makes to the roadmap makes no mention of
any Canadian contribution.
The second phase of the roadmap, June, 2003 -- December 2003, starts after Palestinian
elections and ends with possible creation of an independent Palestinian state with
provisional borders in 2003. An international conference is envisaged during this
period to support Palestinian economic recovery and seek a comprehensive Middle
East peace, including between
Israel
and
Syria
, and
Israel
and
Lebanon
. Arab states are to restore pre-intifada links to
Israel
(trade offices, etc.).
The objectives of the third and final phase are consolidation of reform and stabilization
of Palestinian institutions, sustained, effective Palestinian security performance,
and Israeli-Palestinian negotiations aimed at permanent status agreement in 2005.
A second international conference is envisaged where parties reach final and comprehensive
permanent status agreement that ends Israeli-Palestinian conflict in 2005, ends
the occupation that began in 1967, and includes and agreed, just, fair, and realistic
solution to the refugee issue, and a negotiated resolution on the status of
Jerusalem
that takes into account the political and religious concerns of both sides, and
protects the religious interests of Jews, Christians, and Muslims worldwide, and
fulfills the vision of two states,
Israel
and sovereign, independent, democratic and viable
Palestine
, living side-by-side in peace and security."
It is a tall order to be accomplished in a short time.
Canada
can help achieve it by offering resources, from drafting a constitution, establishing
an election commission, to institution building, in order for the parties to the
roadmap to reach their destination.
Back to Top
April 28th, 2003
Democracy in
Africa
Much-needed nurturing of relations between
Canada
and the African continent
OTTAWA
--Democracy is breaking out in
Africa
. The continent's most populous and once coup-ridden country
Nigeria
, with 120 million inhabitants, has re-elected President Obasanjo for a second term
in the first presidential election to be run by civilians in 20 years. In December,
2002, Kenyans in free and fair elections ended President Daniel Arap Moi's 24-year
rule by electing Mwai Kibaki. And, in
Malawi
, President Muluzi has been dissuaded from tampering with the Constitution to allow
him to seek a third term. These are hopeful signs of an end to the preponderance
of a prolonged era of one-party and military rule on the continent.
Canada
, for its part, has made important contribution to the emergence of democracy on
the continent. Prime Minister Jean Chrétien's role in pushing the
Africa
envelope at last summer G-7 Summit at Kananaskis was no small step in this direction,
where African leaders presented a plan for New Partnership for African Development
(NEPAD).
Canada
responded with a pledge to work with the African leaders and earmarked $500-million
for various projects on the continent, among them promotion of good governance.
Unless this money gets gobbled up by Canadian consultants, it should translate into
some tangible results in establishing viable and sustainable democratic institutions.
This will require for
Canada
to stay engaged in development projects on the continent. International Cooperation
Minister Susan Whelan during a visit last week to the Paris-based Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) noted that Canadian assistance program
has increased from 0.22 per cent of Gross National Income to 0.28 per cent of GNI.
According to her, it is a 31.6 per cent increase in real terms from $2.37-billion
in 2001 to $3.16-billion in 2002. While one commends the increase in aid budget
one must also caution against forcing recipient countries to use a large chunk of
this money to use Canadian consultants and procure Canadian goods, when these could
be available at a cheaper price elsewhere. The level of such tied-aid, is estimated
to be almost two-thirds of Canadian aid.
It is essential for
Canada
to pursue an independent foreign policy vis-à-vis
Africa
. Far too often it is tempting to piggy back on agendas of former colonial powers
Belgium
,
Britain
and
France
, when developing strategies for
Africa
.
Canada
will be well-advised to pursue policies, at times in concert with multilateral organizations,
which project Canadian values. The insistence should be on eradicating poverty,
promoting health and education, providing basic amenities, and assist in programs
and institutions for guaranteeing human rights.
On matters of trade, there is a need for
Canada
to continue to set the example, as it has done with dropping all tariffs on certain
goods from African countries, thereby providing the best engine for economic growth
for industries in those countries. This is a welcome contrast to the European Union
which provides subsidies to its farmers in the same amount as it sends in aid to
developing countries. Would it not be better for the EU to end subsidizing its inefficient
farmers and allow tariff-free importation of agricultural goods from developing
countries?
On the political front, the era of protracted one-party rule is fast becoming history.
Immediately after attaining independence in the 1960s and 70s, legendary figures
such as Kenya's Kenyatta, Ghana's Nkrumah, Tunisia's Bourguiba, and Malawi's Banda,
who had pioneered and directed movements against colonial occupation, were as a
reward left to rule for lengthy periods of time.
Zimbabwe
's Robert Mugabe, in the initial years also benefited from his legendary past as
a leader of the liberation struggle against minority White rule in what was then
called
Rhodesia
.
While coups often reflected the sorry reality of affairs on the African continent
for decade after independence, there have subsequently been cases of leaders who
have voluntarily stepped down to allow for successors to be chosen in multiparty
elections. Such has been the case with Nyerere in
Tanzania
, Senghor in
Senegal
, and more recently Mandela in
South Africa
.
In Africa's most populous country,
Nigeria
, with 120 million inhabitants, elections were held on April 12 for the 360-member
lower House and 109-member Senate. As well, on April 19, elections took place for
a president and 36 state governors and on May 3 Nigerians will go to polls to elect
members to state assemblies. All this has been done in relative calm with only a
handful of violent incidents reported in the presence of a horde of foreign observers.
According to the Commonwealth observers team "In most of
Nigeria
a genuine and largely successful effort was made to enable the people to vote freely."
There were reports of corruption and fraud but not as widespread as had been predicted.
The continent is not yet rid of serious problems as evidenced in recent clashes
and killings in the
Congo
and
Cote d'Ivoire
. But, given the opportunity to free itself of ethnic rivalries, interference by
former colonial powers and sale of weapons by aggressive arms merchants from developed
economies,
Africa
could yet flourish.
The hope lies in small but significant actions such as the opening of a Canadian
diplomatic mission in Maputo announced during Mozambique's President Chissano's
recent state visit to Ottawa, are most welcome for the much-needed nurturing of
relations between Canada and the African continent and be real partners in the development
of the African continent.
Back to Top
April 21st, 2003
Iraq
aftermath
Hope for democratization
OTTAWA
--The Arab/Muslim world is disoriented, disheartened and disorganized in the wake
of the United States‚ "shock and awe" campaign to "liberate"
Iraq
. This is reflected in the absence of an organized and unified Arab/Muslim response
either prior to, or in the aftermath to the United States‚ Iraqi campaign.
Deep down the regimes in the Arab-Muslim world know fully well that the Iraqi people
will now begin to enjoy the freedoms and a quality of life which they have not experienced
in recent history -- neither under the monarchy nor under subsequent military regimes,
which were often supported by the West.
There is no doubt that the American-led military campaign caused considerable civilian
casualties, but many will now be able to live a liberated lifestyle unknown in many
countries of the Arab world. The glitches of civil disorder resulting in looting
will fade away as minor incidents which usually follow any political upheaval. The
initial response in the form of street demonstrations in the Arab-Muslim world is
often a covert protest against the regime in the respective Arab country, as much
as against the presence of foreign forces in
Iraq
.
The impotence of the Arab world is reflected in the 22-member Arab League's failure
to take any stand against President Saddam Hussein prior to the launch of the American-British
campaign to unseat him. It strongly rebuffed United Arab Emirates‚ President Zayed's
plea for Saddam Hussein to leave
Iraq
for the sake of his people. The 57-member Organization of Islamic States also failed
to respond to concerns about Saddam Hussein's regime. Many Arab and Muslim leaders
looked in their own backyards reflecting on their record of governance and balked
against any action. Basically, they could not justify any hostile action against
another "brother" Arab leader, no matter how brutal his regime. Those
already enjoying good relations with the West opted for continued good relations
by providing logistic military support in the form of air and ground space, while
those hostile to the West chose silence mainly for fear of raising questions about
their own regime's somewhat less than stellar record of governance. In the end,
the Arab-Muslim world, by default, presented the
United States
a carte blanche for action against the Saddam regime.
While there is optimism in the West about bringing democracy to the
Middle East
, there is apprehension and need for reflection in the Arab-Muslim world. Democracy
is a nice sounding word for Western domestic political consumption but may not be
easily digestible in the region proliferated by for-life regimes. The Egyptian human
rights activist Saad Eddin Ibhrahim rightly described the American attempt at political
re-engineering of the Middle East as "naïve and arrogant," in an interview
with Globe and Mail's
Cairo
correspondent Paul Adams.
Will the
United States
desire for political and social re-engineering of the region succeed? It depends
if suspicion and apprehension can be erased by presentation of a forthright plan
of action. The history of subjugation of the region by the British, French and earlier
on by the Ottomans invokes suspicions of desire for control of the economic riches
of the region with little or no regard for the welfare of the citizens. The American
presence, however, offers a hope for democratization of the region in every sense
of the word and
Iraq
can be made an example of it.
There is also legitimate concern on the part of some of the regimes in the region
for a rush to bring democracy to the region. Could it lead to a similar experience
as in
Algeria
where Islamic fundamentalists were stopped by Western powers just when they were
about to gain control of government? Governments in
Pakistan
,
Jordan
,
Egypt
,
Kuwait
and
Malaysia
, to name some of the countries, battling political parties from assuming control
of governments through democratic process in order to establish Islamic-based regimes.
These religious parties fuel anti-Western sentiment to gain support in the cause
of Islam. The immediate convergence of far-right, born-again Christian fundamentalists
on
Iraq
, so soon after military action, raises concerns about sincerity of implanting democracy
over spreading Christianity. It immediately invokes memories of the Christian-Muslim
crusades.
The
United States
has won the military action in
Iraq
. It must now win the minds and hearts of the people, which will be a far more prolonged
affair. However, given the goodwill of the American people, this is not an insurmountable
task. But it can only be accomplished with an abundance of political goodwill and
long-term commitment on the part of the
United States
.
The
United States
will be well-advised to call on the United Nations to help in the humanitarian task
and restoration of civil order. It can afford to ignore the non-governmental aid
agencies, which often tend to pick "disaster of the month" for fundraising
purposes. Instead of hopping to cope with one humanitarian crisis to another, one
would think these NGO humanitarian agencies would have their hands full in
Afghanistan
and
Rwanda
, to name just two areas of the world in dire need of their assistance.
There is no doubt that given sufficient goodwill, and the availability of resources,
the recent American action in
Iraq
will spark the kind of renaissance which the Baath (meaning renaissance) Party failed
to deliver not only in the country, but the region. One would want to trust the
Americans to finish the job!
Back to Top
April 14th, 2003
Iraqi chargé d'affaires
may apply for refugee status
Mamdouh Mustafa lives in Rockliffe with his
wife and two children
OTTAWA
--The lone Iraqi diplomat in
Ottawa
, who was in police protection last week, is also out of a job. With the collapse
of President Saddam Hussein's regime in Iraq, he has no government to represent
as he and his wife sit with their two young children in Ottawa's tony Rockcliffe
Park suburb contemplating their future.
Last Thursday, Momdouh Mustafa was whisked away from the Iraqui Embassy under police
protection, this after a pro-democracy group had arrived at the embassy to request
the Iraqi Embassy be vacated.
What are his options? The option to go back home is the least likely he will pursue
for fear or retribution from those who may know him and of his links to the repressive
Saddam regime. Unlike diplomats from democratic governments, those from now defunct
Communist and apartheid regimes were not your balanced bureaucrats, but were members
and staunch defenders of the sole ruling party and harboured strong ideological
attachments to the respective regimes back home.
When the Berlin Wall crumbled, the resulting reunified
Germany
absorbed only a couple of former East German diplomats. Many of the other East European
and former Soviet satellite countries lacking skilled and experienced diplomats
were forced to absorb large numbers of former Communists for the sake of necessity.
It was a similar case in
South Africa
, which in the pursuit of racial reconciliation, tolerated former arch apartheid
defenders and promoters to linger on in their foreign service. The case in point
is the current South African High Commissioner André Jacquet. The Swiss-born Jacquet
served as the white minority apartheid regime's top defender and promoter during
his posting as consul in
Montreal
in the 1980s. He is one of the few who opted to take advantage of the reconciliation
policy allowing him to linger on long enough to cash into a lucrative retirement
scheme.
However, unlike the South African diplomat, the Ottawa-based Iraqi diplomat, Momdouh
Mustafa, will not be offered any comfort of a job after having served in the much-despised
Saddam regime. The consensus among his Arab colleagues is that the soft-spoken Iraqi
diplomat, seemingly in his late 40s, will most likely opt for refuge in
Canada
. Whether as a result of deliberate calculation or as a result of a recent work
overload, the Iraqi envoy of late refused all media interviews. He, however, made
regular appearances on the diplomatic circuit, including attending the Governor
General's party for the diplomatic corps in February of this year. He was also a
regular at the Arab ambassadors' monthly meetings.
The Rockcliffe Park Iraqi official residence was the scene of annual birthday bashes
for the Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein. A few years ago, guests were treated to a massive
cake decked with wishes for a happy and long life for the Iraqi leader. There was
reciting of poetry and singing of praises of the "beloved" Saddam.
Mr. Mustafa, who has a perfect command of English, was never the ranting and raving
defender of the Saddam regime -- at least not on the diplomatic circuit. Even during
the recent most difficult time for the regime, Mr. Mustafa, while not shirking away
from representing his country did not become an apologist for the regime. He did,
however, relish the news of President Saddam -- the sole candidate winning 100 per
cent of the vote in last December's presidential election.
The Canadian Security Intelligence Agency (CSIS) will have to provide credible evidence
for or against Mr. Mustafa, in case he applies for refugee status in
Canada
. It depends on what CSIS can dig up, or already knows about his background and
affiliation to
Iraq
's ruling Baath Party. There may also be information Iraqi émigrés can provide for
or against Mr. Mustafa.
In a similar scenario, diplomats in the foreign service of the Shah of Iran suddenly
found themselves without livelihood, when he was overthrown by the student-inspired
revolution which brought Ayatollah Khomeini to power. Most of the Iranian diplomats
were offered asylum in the countries in which they were serving at the time of the
revolution and some later relocated to countries of their choice, if they were acceptable.
The Canadian Alliance MPs recently urged
Canada
to expel the Iraqi diplomat following a reported request from the U.S. State Department
to about 60 countries with diplomatic ties to
Iraq
. Many of these countries refused, including,
Switzerland
,
Mexico
,
Malaysia
and
Egypt
.
Hungary
expelled two but allowed another two, including the charge d'affaires to stay.
Canada
expelled an Iraqi diplomat last December for activities unbecoming of diplomatic
functions -- probably engaging in espionage, but chose to keep the embassy open.
The case of Mr. Mustafa, however, will not be the first time that
Canada
has been faced with having to make difficult decision about an Iraqi diplomat. In
1991, the Mulroney government secretly gave asylum to
Iraq
's Ambassador to the UN Mr. Al-Mashat. Al-Mashat, who is rumored to reside in
Vancouver
, had befriended
Canada
's Ambassador to Washington D.C. Allan Gotleib, who played an important role in
the Iraqi's diplomatic defection to
Canada
. In 1993, it is understood
Iraq
's last Ambassador to Canada Hisham Al Shawi sought asylum in
Canada
but was refused. The
Oxford
educated Ambassador then absconded with embassy funds totaling some $200,000 to
join an Iraqi opposition group in
London
,
England
. He handed over the embassy funds to opposition groups fighting for the removal
of Saddam Hussein.
It is uncertain what fate awaits the current Iraqi diplomat in
Ottawa
. But one thing is certain. Mr. Mustafa has no country to represent and is likely
looking for a new job.
Back to Top
April 7th, 2003
Canada
's principled foreign policy
OTTAWA
--Just when U.S. Ambassador to Canada Paul Cellucci is talking of continuing to
work together to build "strong and long-term" relations between
Canada
and the
United States
, the Canadian Alliance introduces a motion asking the House, among other things
to "apologize" to the
United States
for inappropriate and untimely remarks by some Canadian MPs. If passed, such a motion
will place Canadian foreign policy in a straight jacket and subservient to the
United States
. And what kind of a message does it send to other small and mediums-size countries
existing next to larger ones? Should they all follow the dictums of their larger
neighbours? And what happened to the concept that every country is sovereign and
free to express its views and follow independent policies so long as they do not
harm another country or disrupt world order? Perhaps, the Canadian Alliance is more
interested in political expediency by reflecting the opinion of its rump Alberta-based
American origin support, than respect international mores.
The sole focus of the Canadian Alliance is this country's economic relations with
the
United States
. But they seem to forget that bilateral relations are based on more than just trade.
They overlook Ambassador Cellucci's remarks when discussing Canada-U.S. relations,
in
Montreal
last week: "We are friends. We are allies. We are neighbours -- and we are
family. And nothing is ever going to change that."
President of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Thomas Donohue when asked during the visit
to Toronto last Thursday whether trade between Canada and the United States will
suffer because of the recent verbal tiffs, he replied there will be "no backlash,
absolutely not." He added, "We are disappointed but understand,"
Canada
's position. This reflects the mature state of Canada-U.S. bilateral relations.
Canada
and the
United States
enjoy an interdependent economy. The
U.S.
relies on
Canada
as the largest single reliable source of energy supply.
Canada
is the largest destination for 25 per cent of
U.S.
exports and destination for exports from 38 of the 50 states. In return, two-thirds
of Canadian exports go to the
United States
making it the largest single trading relationship in the world. And, it is mutually
beneficial.
For the most part, businesses do not sell or buy because they like the politics
of another country. Even during the worst years of the Cold War and immediately
following the Soviet invasion of
Afghanistan
, the Reagan administration exempted sale of wheat to the
Soviet Union
, what it then termed the "evil empire." It opted to feed the "enemy"
than see wheat sales plummet in the Republican Midwest stronghold prior to an election.
Communist China and capitalist
Taiwan
are each other's largest trade partners despite constant threats by
China
to invade
Taiwan
. Furthermore,
Taiwan
is the largest investor in mainland
China
. The two keep on trading, while sharing many cultural values but having diametrically
opposed political philosophies.
Closer to home, Mexico's percentage of trade with the United States is almost as
much as Canada, yet it did not support the pre Iraq war British-U.S. proposed resolution
at the United Nations Security Council. Mexican business executives were encouraging
their government to endorse this resolution, but the government of President Vincente
Fox resisted the pressure. Does this action make
Mexico
anti-American? Despite all the fear-mongering of potential trade problems, President
Fox's government enjoys support of almost two-third of Mexicans, almost the same
as in
Canada
on the
Iraq
question. One does not appease one's neighbour for merely economic considerations.
Mexico
's 1917 Constitution bars it from sending troops outside its borders. But the fact
that
Mexico
is not contributing in any way to the attack on
Iraq
does not make it anti-American.
In another recent example, President Ricardo Lagos of
Chile
put it bluntly when told his country's opposition to British-U.S. resolution at
the UN Security Council could scuttle the recently signed Chile-U.S. Free Trade
Agreement. The Chilean President replied, "The Free Trade Agreement is not
a gift that the
United States
is giving to
Chile
, neither it is a gift from
Chile
to the
United States
. The Agreement was signed because it was beneficial for both countries to expedite
trade between them." Does any one really seriously think that the
U.S.
would have dropped the massive 29 per cent duty of softwood lumber if
Canada
had joined the war on
Iraq
?
What will the
Alliance
ask
Canada
to do next to appease the
United States
? Sever relations with
Cuba
,
Iran
and
Libya
? Would the Canadian Alliance want to see
Canada
perceived as an appendage to the
United States
in its international dealings?
Canada
has, and continues to pursue a principled foreign policy on the international scene.
As a founding member of the Commonwealth and La Francophonie as well as the United
Nations, and a country with no colonial past that carries no baggage of a superpower,
it is respected on the world stage for following an independent foreign policy,
while not jeopardizing its bilateral relations with its important ally -- the
United States of America
. Disputes often occur among family members and they can be equally easily resolved.
Such is the nature of Canada-U.S. relations.
Back to Top
March 31st, 2003
International diplomacy
is a two-edged sword
U.S.
would not now want to push its two friendly neighbours too far
Following his speech to the Toronto Economic Club last week, U.S. Ambassador Paul
Cellucci engaged in some unusual diplomatic activity. Usually, as guests in another
countries, diplomats do not comment on the domestic affairs of the host country.
Recently, when
Lebanon
's Ambassador Raymond Baaklini made remarks about media ownership in this country,
the same Canadian Alliance MPs who are now cheering Ambassador Cellucci's remarks
urged
Canada
to expel the Lebanese envoy.
It is no secret that American ambassadors have been known to make calculated public
remarks to swing presidential elections in favour of their pet candidates, usually
in developing countries. While some MPs cheered the American Ambassador's criticism
of Liberal MPs' remarks about U.S. President George Bush, others, like Toronto MP
Jim Karygiannis reminded, "Mr. Cellucci does not get elected in
Canada
. We are the ones that express our views for our constituents."
Ambassador Cellucci's speech was a fair and balanced assessment of Canada-U.S. relations.
Unfortunately, it got sidelined by his remarks to the media following the speech,
in which he questioned the Prime Minister's judgment not to admonish Natural Resources
Minister Herb Dhaliwal for saying President Bush is "not a statesman."
In reaction, the American envoy had earlier withdrawn his lunch invitation to Minister
Dhaliwal.
In his speech, Ambassador Cellucci spoke of "no relationship that we have in
the world that is more important than our relationship with
Canada
." He cited the $1.4-billion-a-day trade between the two countries, that for
38 of the 50 states the number one foreign trading partner is Canada, 200 million
border crossings a year, cooperation in defence of North America through partnership
in Northcom (formerly NORAD), among other examples.
He also drew attention to the fact that "the
U.S.
gets more energy from
Canada
than any other foreign country and this ability to have reliable sources of energy
and a reliable transmission of energy here in North America is critical for both
of us and for
Mexico
as we want to keep our economies growing." The American envoy quoted Prime
Minister Chrétien's statement of Sept. 14, 2001, when he said, "We are not
only great friends and great allies, we are family."
Being a family, Prime Minister Chrétien has often observed, means we can often disagree
and agree to see things from different perspectives and act accordingly in our national
interest. In a similar vein, U.S. Ambassador to Mexico Antonio O. Graza speaking
in
Puebla
weeks before the crucial UN Security Council vote said, "We are not asking
Mexico
to do the
United States
a favour. We expect
Mexico
to act according to its own interests and its responsibilities to the international
community..." To which
Mexico
's Secretary of Government, Santiago Creel replied, "
Mexico
's position will respond exclusively to our interests, those of Mexicans and no
one else." Ultimately,
Mexico
refrained from supporting the U.S.-British sponsored resolution at the UN Security
Council.
In
Toronto
, Ambassador Cellucci cited a number of recent examples of cooperation between
Canada
and the
U.S.
including, the Smart and Secure Border agreement, "safe third" country
agreement, Yukon-Salmon Agreement, and "outstanding" cooperation between
intelligence and law enforcement agencies of the two countries.
He even added, "Ironically, the Canadian naval vessels, aircraft and personnel
in the Persian Gulf who are fighting terrorism will provide more support indirectly
to this war in
Iraq
than most of the 46 countries that are fully supporting our efforts there."
Yes, Ambassador Cellucci, did have a sentence or two in his speech decrying lack
of support from
Canada
in the war in
Iraq
, saying, "So we are disappointed that some of our closest allies, including
Canada
have not agreed with us on the urgent need for this military action against
Iraq
."
But, U.S. intentions and actions in Iraq are being questioned in Washington, D.C.
Senator Robert Byrd of West Virginia, the Dean of the U.S. Congress, in a speech
in the Senate on March 11 said, "Instead of forging an international coalition
to deal with Iraq, as it set out to do, the Administration has managed to turn much
world opinion against United States...I believe this coming war is a grave mistake,
not because Saddam Hussein does not deserve to be disarmed or driven from power,
not because some of our allies object to war, but because Iraq does not pose an
imminent threat to the security of the United States. ...In many corners of the
world, the United States is seen as manufacturing a crisis in Iraq, not responding
to one."
The evidence is in the fact that, of the 191-member countries of the United Nations,
only two -- Britain and Australia, are contributing personnel and material to U.S.
war efforts in Iraq; only two of the 15 members of the UN Security Council -- Bulgaria
and Spain, backed the failed British/U.S. sponsored resolution for war against Iraq;
and only two -- Britain and Australia, of the 54 Commonwealth countries are materially
supporting the U.S. in Iraq.
International diplomacy is a two-edged sword. The
U.S.
would not now want to push its two friendly neighbours, reliable economic partners,
and allies in war on terrorism --
Canada
and
Mexico
, into
Cubas
at its doorsteps through harsh retaliatory measures.
Back to Top
March 24th, 2003
Canada
's stand is not anti-American
Iraq
war has fermented some uncomfortable upheavals on international scene
OTTAWA
--
Canada
did well to stay the UN course on
Iraq
. This was endorsed by a 153-50 vote in the House of Commons last Thursday on a
Bloc Québécois motion calling on the government "not to participate in the
military intervention initiated by the
United States
in
Iraq
." The vote is the reflection of Canadian public opinion.
The decision to pursue the United Nations-endorsed course of action should not be
perceived as anti-American. The two are mutually exclusive. If the UN course of
action is anti-American then, by that logic, the majority of the 191 countries of
the world can be perceived to be anti-American. Only two countries --
Britain
and
Australia
, are providing military personnel support to the
U.S.
attack on
Iraq
. Even
Spain
, which stood by the
U.S.
in the UN Security Council, is not providing any military support. And
Portugal
, which provided the venue for the Azores Summit a week ago, is also a bystander
in the
U.S.
war effort.
The Iraqi issue has fermented some uncomfortable upheavals on the international
scene.
Britain
and
France
have exchanged some unkind words over course of action against
Iraq
. However, Canadian and
U.S.
leaders have respectfully, at least publicly, accepted the other's decision.
The United States deserve credit for its military build-up which finally pushed
Iraqi President Saddam Hussein to start respecting some 16 Security Council resolutions
languishing over 12 years, requiring Iraq to disarm. Unfortunately, the
United States
abandoned the UN course of action over the dispute of timing of action against
Iraq
. The
U.S.
military action against
Iraq
started on March 17. The Canadian proposal seeking to bridge the divide among the
Security Council members had proposed giving
Iraq
until March 28 or the latest until April 8, 2003, to disarm. If this proposal had
been given a chance, there is every likelihood that the
U.S.
action against
Iraq
could have mustered support from a much larger number of countries, including
Canada
, than it now has.
The
United States
failed to make the case for immediate attack on
Iraq
to the world body. The United Nations, often referred to as the court of world opinion,
was not convinced by the
U.S.
and a British argument for immediate military action against
Iraq
but was moving in that direction fairly swiftly. The UN, with the help of the
United States
, was finally going to call
Iraq
's bluff. But the world opinion would have preferred a more realistic deadline of
a week or two than President Bush's 48-hour ultimatum.
In the course of a few weeks of
U.S.
pressure, the Iraqis destroyed 72 of the 122 Al Samoud 2 missiles under the watchful
eye of the UN weapons inspectors. The process of disarming
Iraq
was getting on track but Iraqi intransigence persisted. This, no doubt, prominently
figured into the
U.S.
and British decision to take military action.
The United Nations played a credible and useful role in summoning world opinion
against
Iraq
a dozen years ago when it invaded neighboring
Kuwait
. The
United States
was able to work through this world body to line up 28 of the most powerful and
diverse countries to drive
Iraq
out of
Kuwait
. The coalition put together by President Bush Sr. had support of all permanent
members of the UN Security Council as well as Arab and Muslim countries. That such
a coalition could not be put together, perhaps because of a rush to military action,
does not speak well of a new world order based on "rule of law" to regulate
world affairs. In the case of liberation of
Kuwait
, use of course coupled with a moral argument, had set the tone for world diplomacy.
It remains to be seen what kind of world order emerges from the current Iraqi crisis.
There is no doubt that Europe's future will be shaped by recent public tiffs and
policy differences between
France
and
Germany
on the one hand and
Britain
on the other. Just as the European Union expands from 15 to 25 members, it is busy
reviewing not only the state of intra-Europe relations, but also more importantly,
reviewing the state of trans-Atlantic relations.
Similarly, in this hemisphere, it remains to be seen what kind of relations the
U.S.
pursues with
Mexico
and
Chile
. These two members of the Security Council withheld their support for the proposed
British-U.S. resolution which was never put to the Security Council for lack of
support. Whatever, if any, cooling of relations may take place among countries of
this hemisphere, trade, especially among NAFTA partners, will continue to flow.
Because, for the most part, decisions to trade is based more on reality of cold
financial calculations, market forces and availability of supplies, than political
considerations. In this respect, the mutuality and reliability of business relations
among the NAFTA partners is not likely to be affected. For example, one cannot envisage
the
U.S.
seeking alternative secure sources of energy than it already has in
Canada
and
Mexico
.
The United Nations, which is playing a useful coordinating role in the reconstruction
of
Afghanistan
, will most likely be called on to do the same in
Iraq
. Hence, despite its shortcomings, the UN will continue to play an important role
in world affairs.
Back to Top
March 17th, 2003
UN will survive current Iraqi
crisis
Other than doomsday prophets, world leaders are keeping UN in perspective
OTTAWA
--The United Nations will survive the current Iraqi crisis. This is a minor challenge
compared to what the world body encountered during the protracted Cold War.
U.S. President George Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair started the mantra
that the UN will become irrelevant if it does not back an attack on
Iraq
. In
Canada
, Canadian Alliance Leader Stephen Harper mimicked the same when he told the House
of Commons on Jan. 29: "The failure to enforce resolutions to disarm Hussein
will mean the UN itself will cease to be a credible body in world security affairs."
Fortunately, other than a handful of these doomsday prophets on the future of the
UN, the majority of world leaders are keeping the deliberations at the United Nations
in perspective.
The UN has faced numerous challenges, ranging from such serious ones as the
Suez
crisis to the 1950s conflict on the Korean peninsula and the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian
problem, to resolving outstanding issues of status of Kashmir and
Cyprus
. Other than resolving conflicts and stemming others from flaring into full-blown
wars, the UN's achievements include managing de-colonization and meeting social
and economic needs of the world community through its various organs. The Permanent
Court of Internationals Justice created by the UN has settled many disputes between
countries and the creation last week of the International Criminal Court, with a
Canadian at the head, is another landmark in the organization's history.
It seems that
Britain
and the
United States
miscalculated the reaction to their proposals to the Security Council on
Iraq
, expecting smaller, non-permanent member-states of the Security Council to fall
in place and endorse them. Furthermore, the major resistance to the British and
American stance has emanated from permanent members of the Security Council such
as
France
and
Russia
, and traditional allies such as
Germany
, as well as friendly neighbour
Mexico
, and hemispheric ally
Chile
. Even
Pakistan
balked at voting automatically for the British proposals, as did three African countries
of
Angola
,
Cameroon
and
Guinea
, the last of whom holds the rotating presidency of the Security Council this month.
There is widespread opposition at the Security Council to the British-American proposals
from across geographic and political lines.
Having realized the seriousness of the situation, the French Foreign Minister, a
British junior minister, and US Under Secretary of State for African Affairs hurriedly
embarked on short safaris to the three African nations to get their support. It
was only a short few years ago, when Condoleeza Rice, on her appointment as National
Security Advisor, was invited to a luncheon by the Washington-based African diplomatic
corps and she declined. Diplomacy is a slow and winding road and one does not just
come calling only when in despair.
The UN is a democratic institution reflecting world opinion. Just as each province
enjoys equality in the Canadian confederation so do sovereign nations in the United
Nations. They each have the same one vote as any other country in the world body,
irrespective of size, wealth and power. Article 2 of the Charter of the UN states
"The Organizations is based on the principle of the sovereign equality of all
its members." Having said that, there is the "victors" council -
the Security Council, made up of the victorious out of the Second World War -
Britain
,
China
, France,
Russia
and the
United States of America
. These five countries exercise considerable influence and enjoy the status of being
permanent members of the Security Council. The Council acts as the executive body
for the 191-member General Assembly of the United Nations. Each year 10 non-permanent
members are elected to the Security Council based on geographic consideration. Therefore,
one could not find a more representative body of world opinion than the United Nations
created in 1945 in
San Francisco
with the primary objective of preservation of international peace and security.
Another familiar stance adopted by the Canadian Alliance in attacking the Canadian
government for not supporting the
U.S.
in pre-emptive deployment of troops in the
Middle East
, is that such non-action will hurt Canada-US trade relations. Interestingly
Chile
's President Ricardo Lagos, whose country recently signed a free trade agreement
FTA) with the
U.S.
told a press conference that the FTA is not threatened by an eventual negative vote
of
Chile
at the Security Council. He added, "The Free Trade Agreement is not a gift
that the
United States
is giving to
Chile
, neither it is a gift from
Chile
to the
United States
. The Agreement was signed because it was beneficial for both countries to expedite
trade between them."
If the UN is in the midst of being declared irrelevant, then perhaps much more like-minded
organizations close in values to
Britain
and the
U.S.
, such as NATO and European Union than the diverse UN, should also be placed under
the same banner. For they too are splintered on whether to support the British-American
plans for an attack on
Iraq
.
Canada
deserves credit for staying the UN track and in the process making useful a contribution
such as the compromise 'Plan to Bridge the Divide' at the Security Council.
As is often said, if the United Nations did not exist, we would have to invent it.
Back to Top
March 10th, 2003
Canada
's respectable compromise
OTTAWA
--While some decried
Canada
's policy on the
Iraq
crisis as fence-sitting, it is ultimately being viewed as seeking a respectable
compromise. The Canadian proposal currently circulating at the United Nations, especially
among Security Council members, is asking the world community to consider imposing
a March 28 deadline for Iraqi President Saddam Hussein to completely disarm or face
the consequences.
The Canadian initiative is a compromise between two positions. One is the British
proposal, backed by the
United States
calling for immediate action against
Iraq
for not complying with the earlier UN Security Council resolution of November, 2002.
The other, the French proposal, backed by UN Security Council permanent members
Russia
and
China
, as well as by non-permanent member
Germany
, calls for allowing an extended period of time of five to six months and a dramatic
increase, from 100 to 1,000 weapons inspectors to comb
Iraq
for weapons of mass destruction, before taking any action. The five permanent members
of the UN Security Council have the right to veto any proposal and
France
and
Russia
have threatened such action if the British-sponsored resolution calling for immediate
action against
Iraq
is presented.
Initially rejected out of hand by the
United States
and French-backed group, the Canadian proposal is appealing to more and more members
of the Security Council, including favourable comment by British Foreign Secretary
Jack Straw. Prime Minister Jean Chrétien for his part took the idea to
Mexico
, a non-permanent member of the Security Council and received favourable response.
The other non-permanent member
Chile
also weighed in on
Canada
's side and has been promoting the proposal among other Security Council members.
The Canadian proposal titled "Ideas on bridging the divide" states, "Both
sides have a point: an open-ended inspection process would relieve the pressure
on the Iraqis to disarm; a truncated inspection process would leave doubt that war
was a last resort." It says the focus should be put back on disarmament, "on
substance not on process, e.g. the disposition of the VX gas and precursors, etc."
The Canadian proposal, however, leaves no doubt that if the proposed March 28 report
indicates that the Iraqis have not complied, "all necessary means could be
used to force them to disarm."
While the British have mellowed somewhat to give the Canadian proposal a favourable
look over, the rhetoric in
Washington
,
D.C.
, is for immediate military action against
Iraq
. The United States' stance that it is ready to attack Iraq with or without the
UN Security Council approval, and constantly putting the relevance of the world
body into question leads one to ask: if the UN was good enough when it unanimously
(15-0) passed resolution 1441 in November 2002, why is it not good enough now? It
is non-compliance of the Iraqi regime with resolution 1441 that the
United States
and
Britain
are citing as justifying an attack on
Iraq
, among, of course many previous UN resolutions.
By the same token, will the United States question the relevance of NATO because
some of its members also withheld supporting for certain U.S.-backed positions on
Iraq, including providing protection to fellow NATO member Turkey, in the event
of an attack on Iraq. Furthermore, the challenge at the UN to the
United States
' position is mounted by none other than France, an ally and fellow NATO member.
If there is disagreement at the UN Security Council and NATO, similar logjams existed
at the recent meetings of the Arab League and the Organization of Islamic Countries
(OIC). The fact that both organizations could not even come up with unanimous resolutions
on the situation in
Iraq
does not make them irrelevant. Similarly, it would be preposterous to state that
the vote in the British House of Commons by 122 Labour Party MPs against their own
government's policy on
Iraq
has somehow placed the future of that institution in a predicament.
The challenge for any superpower is whether to take the more difficult route of
multilateralism or the easy way of unilateralism.
Countries such as
Canada
are placing their faith in the multilateral system to resolve issues of war and
trade. Living next to a disproportionate neighbor favoring unilateralism is not
an easy choice. However, as Prime Minister Chrétien recently told the audience in
Chicago
: "
Canada
has its own international policy.
Canada
must follow its own approach. Our approach is to support multilateral institutions.
We will continue on that path."
If there is to be a rule-based international system, then there exists the need
for forums such as the United Nations and World Trade Organization, for resolving
challenging issues. How else are conflicts or disputes to be resolved?
The Canadian proposal to the UN Security Council is one small yet significant step
to maintain multilateral avenues open.
One hopes that opposition parties in the House will now recognize that seeking compromise
is not tantamount to sitting on the fence.
For
Canada
, which is not even on the Security Council, to have managed to capture the international
community's attention with its proposal to resolving the Iraqi impasse is no small
feat. It is a triumph, limited as it may be, in Canadian foreign policy history.
Back to Top
March 3rd, 2003
So, Saddam has to go
For the sake of his people
OTTAWA
--
Iraq
's President Saddam Hussein has to go! He has to go for the sake of the people of
Iraq
. They have endured far too much suffering for far too long. His departure will
not only end the Iraqi people's daily suffering but bring back economic buoyancy,
which should be the state of affairs in
Iraq
-- the only country in the region blessed with both oil and water as well as a skilled
and educated populace.
Some will, of course, question what happened to the concept of state sovereignty
-- a concept which guarantees the right of a country to conduct its affairs without
interference from outside forces. There are two superseding factors to state sovereignty:
one, when a state becomes a threat to peace, stability and world order, and second
when it acts towards its citizens in a manner which is cause for concern for its
neighbours. Iraqi President Saddam Hussein has made his country vulnerable on both
counts. While "regime change" is a recent coinage its vintage is old.
U.S.
administrations installed the deposed Iranian dynasty, deposed and installed a friendly
leader in
South Vietnam
, invaded and ended Prime Minister Bishop's rule in
Grenada
and penetrated
Panama
to pluck the famous pineapple-faced President Noriega, who still sits in a
U.S.
jail. So, regime change is nothing new.
In Saddam's case, his invasion of a fellow Arab and Muslim country,
Kuwait
, almost a decade ago, the launch earlier of hostilities against fellow Muslim country
Iran
, and his refusal to release some 650, mostly Kuwaiti, prisoners of war, is an affront
to international civilized behaviour.
In the case of treatment of his own people, Saddam Hussein has created a fear-filled
and repressive state with no room for dissent and a rubber-stamp national assembly.
While it is likely to be a daunting task, U.S. President Bush is right in setting
sights on creating democratic states in the region, starting with
Iraq
. Unfortunately, the record does not bode well for these bold ventures. For instance,
almost a decade after wanting to restore full democracy in a liberated Kuwait, the
women in that country still do not enjoy the basic fundamental right to vote. But
Kuwait
is miles ahead of other countries in the region in democratic development by having
an elected and functioning national assembly.
When oppressed people in an oppressive country cannot rise up or speak without risking
their lives, as was the case in apartheid
South Africa
, others outside have to do so on their behalf. The suffering of the Iraqi people
receives much publicity, as a result of regular visits by foreign delegations, showing
lack of equipment and medicines in hospitals and clinics because of UN-imposed sanctions.
A unanimous motion of the House of Commons Committee on Foreign Affairs and International
Affairs, under then-chair Bill Graham, now Foreign Affairs Minister, called for
an end to these sanctions. However, while TV images of suffering children make a
compelling case for ending sanctions against
Iraq
, there is little or no question of the billions squandered by President Saddam
Hussein on building palaces for his comfort and that of the ruling elite.
Little is known about a United Nations program to allow
Iraq
to sell oil in exchange for essential supplies. For instance, Iraqi oil revenues
for the week ending Feb. 7 totalled $320-million based on the export of 11.8 billion
barrels, according to the United Nations office overseeing this humanitarian "oil-for-food"
program.
The UN Security Council established the oil-for-food program in April, 1995. Since
December 1996, some 3.3 billion barrels of Iraqi oil valued at about $62-billion
have been exported under the program, including to the
United States
to this day. Of this amount, 72 per cent of the total has been allocated to humanitarian
needs nationwide since December, 2000. The balance is distributed to a Compensation
Fund for Persian Gulf War reparations, which receives 25 per cent, while 2.2 per
cent covers UN administrative and operational costs of the program, with the remaining
0.8 per cent going towards costs for the weapons inspection program. Is it any wonder
that the Iraqi people are tired of the regime, which mismanages revenues from this
program by spending on building lavish palaces rather than buying needed supplies.
It prefers to use its people, especially under-nourished babies, as political fodder
in TV images to garner sympathy for the president abroad than get its spending priorities
in order.
So, Saddam has to go, not for the sake of the U.S. or Britain, or to ensure U.S.
control of Iraq's oil reserves (known to be the world's largest) or to satisfy the
suspected vendetta George W. Bush Jr. has against Saddam for trying to kill his
father Bush Sr. No, none of the foregoing.
He has to go for the sake of his people.
Back to Top
February 17th, 2003
World order is shifting
OTTAWA
--Is there a reconfiguration of alliances taking place on the world scene? Witness
the recent, but previously unheard of, public disagreement among NATO military alliance
members and continued disagreement among European Union (EU) member states on how
to respond to the U.S.-proposed action against
Iraq
. The five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council are also realigning
themselves to the
U.S.
action against
Iraq
.
Historically, one could count on
Germany
and the
U.S.
to be automatically on the same side in an Iraq-like crisis. But this is no longer
the case. Needless to say, the sole superpower cannot take for granted, its former
Cold War allies and its once adversaries such as
Russia
are linking forces with its once enemies like
Germany
.
The news, of not only a stalemate but of public disagreement, at the recent NATO
ministers' meeting in Brussels, is perhaps a signal that the military alliance,
created as a bulwark against Communism, needs to review its existence given the
changing priorities. Former prime minister Pierre Trudeau questioned the need for
Canada
's continued participation in NATO, as did former French president Charles de Gaulle.
Perhaps time has come for
Canada
to undertake the review of its continued participation in NATO. The need to contain
Communism allowed
Turkey
to become a member of NATO because of its strategic geographic location. But today,
Turkey
is having much difficulty being accepted as a European nation in the European Union.
NATO recently expanded from 19 member states to 26 with a special partnership agreement
with
Russia
. But many of the new member states are seeking more of a psychological protection
from a non-existent enemy, and wanting a foothold in Europe, in their desire to
be considered as "Western Europeans" and not continued to be perceived
as former Soviet satellite states on the fringes of
Europe
.
If NATO is facing internal dissension such as its disagreement on whether to provide
protection and assistance to a member state, in this case
Turkey
, if the
U.S.
attacks
Iraq
, the EU is also facing some realignment. While there is history of antagonism between
the British and the French, the recent rebuff by French President Jacques Chirac
to British Prime Minister Tony Blair when he travelled across the channel to convince
the French to join in war efforts against Iraq is seen not only as a sign of historic
animosity but a reflection of ignorance of realignment on the part of the British.
No sooner had Tony Blair left
Paris
after a cool reception that the French were warmly welcoming Russian President Vladimir
Putin. German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder is also on side with the French on the
war on
Iraq
.
Recently, British Prime Minister Blair was able to get signatures of eight European
countries to show support for the
U.S.
stance against
Iraq
, but the omission of two major European powers -
France
and
Germany
, was an evident embarrassment. The division caused by Prime Minister Tony Blair's
antics prompted EU President Romano Prodi to appeal to the European Union members
to speak with one voice. However, the EU member states do not necessarily want to
be seen espousing a monolith foreign policy. Thus, the European response to the
U.S.
appeal to deal with
Iraq
is not surprising.
The fractured and laggard European response to the
U.S.
is also likely the result of
U.S.
treatment of Europe, ranging from the U.S. ban on European steel imports to not
ratifying
Kyoto
and hostility to an International Criminal Court, which the international community
still managed to establish. Some of these U.S. actions have perhaps prompted Europeans
to look after their own interests first, such as securing oil supplies prompting
them to stay on the sidelines for as long as possible to dissuade the U.S. against
taking any action in Iraq.
Some other international or regional organizations such as the Organization of Islamic
Countries (OIC) are also proving to be ineffective in providing a unified stand
on how to deal with Iraq or help find a solution, because the majority of its member
Arab states are impotent against any U.S. action in Iraq and are themselves, in
private, endorsing the removal of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein. In turn,
Turkey
has taken the initiative to hold regular ministerial level consultations, on the
situation in
Iraq
, with such countries as
Egypt
,
Iran
,
Jordan
,
Saudi Arabia
and
Syria
.
As for North America, Canada, though geographically close to the United States and
in NAFTA along with Mexico, is, however, finding its policies more in line with
countries such as Chile, a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council and permanent
members such as France and Russia.
As Prime Minister Chrétien last Thursday told the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations
"it matters to your economy that ours does well: we consume 25
per cent of your exports." He added that in 2000,
Canada
bought more
U.S.
goods than all 15 countries of the EU combined. A timely reminder that usually it
is a two-way traffic, benefiting both partners in an alliance.
It remains to be seen what kind of world order will evolve from the activities in
each alliance in response to the
U.S.
proposed action against
Iraq
.
Back to Top
February 10th, 2003
U.S.
needs UN to ensure safe, secure world
OTTAWA
--The
United States of America
needs the United Nations as much as the world body needs the most powerful nation.
This mutual reliance can ensure a safe and secure world.
For this reason, one credits top
U.S.
diplomat, Secretary of State Colin Powell, for engaging the UN by making a case
before the world body before considering any unilateral military action against
Iraq
. This preferred course of action will not only garner goodwill from other member
states of the United Nations but will help in finding solutions to impending difficult
issues, such as the coming confrontation with North Korea and its decision to pursue
a nuclear program. If it stays on the UN course, the
U.S.
can not only count on the moral authority of the UN but enlist its assistance to
coordinate human and material resources to confront
North Korea
and perhaps solve the lingering Israeli-Palestinian conflict. As Foreign Affairs
Minister Bill Graham told the House Foreign Affairs Committee last Thursday, the
U.S.
may be the most powerful country but it cannot solve all the world problems by itself.
Former
U.S.
president Bill Clinton tried to go it alone and bombed
Iraq
in 1998, but not to much avail. After almost a decade of non-compliance by Iraq
of UN resolutions the
U.S.
can help the world body finally have its resolutions implemented.
While one credits Secretary of State Powell for making his case before the United
Nations, one questions British Prime Minister Tony Blair's antics in dashing across
the channel to convince French President Jacques Chirac to make war declarations
against Iraq, even before the U.S. presented evidence before the Security Council.
Rightly, the French President rebuffed the British Prime Minister.
Germany
, the other major power, which currently holds the presidency of the Security Council,
also urged awaiting the verdict of the UN weapons inspectors before taking any military
decision.
After hearing Secretary Powell's evidence against
Iraq
, only three members of the UN Security Council
Britain
,
Bulgaria
and
Spain
, aligned themselves with the
U.S.
position. Others preferred to await the report to the Security Council on Friday,
Feb. 14 by the UN chief weapons inspector Dr. Hans Blix.
Canada
has adopted this position also. Secretary Powell's attempt to link
Iraq
to international terrorism and activities of Al-Qaeda generated the greatest cynicism.
There is also skepticism about credibility of imminent threat from
Iraq
.
In a constructive move, French Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin urged increasing
the number of weapons inspectors and intensifying searches for
Iraq
's weapons of mass destruction.
All political parties in the House of Commons, except the Canadian Alliance, have
been urging working for a solution under the UN aegis and hearing from the UN weapons
inspectors, before launching any action against
Iraq
. However, the trigger-happy Canadian Alliance is urging the government to start
contributing to the pre-deployment
U.S.
force in the
Middle East
. Does the Canadian Alliance really think that
Canada
's relations with the
U.S.
will improve dramatically if
Canada
unreservedly endorsed every
U.S.
military decision? Is the Canadian Alliance so naïve as to believe that
Canada
's disputes with the
U.S.
, such as the softwood lumber, will be resolved overnight, if
Canada
joins the
U.S.
in attacks on
Iraq
? One ought not to forget that
Canada
was not a partner with the
U.S.
in the Vietnam War.
While the Arab world remains impotent to bring to bear any significant influence
on the
U.S.
decision on
Iraq
, the Turkish parliament has voted to support
U.S.
military action. Europe remains strategically divided, with only five of the European
Union members siding with the
United States
, prompting EU President Romano Prodi to express concern about
Europe
's lack of cohesiveness.
In a related matter, the House Foreign Affairs Committee last Thursday rejected
Progressive Conservative MP Bill Casey's motion to have Iraqi and
U.S.
officials appear before the committee. At the urging of Foreign Affairs Minister
Graham, the Liberal majority on the committee defeated the motion supported by all
opposition parties. The Liberals argued that the appearance by Iraqi officials would
give them a false sense of gaining legitimacy in world parliamentary forums when
they are already making their case at the United Nations, but according to Mr. Casey
the appearance would have allowed Canadian MPs to question them about missing chemicals,
human rights record and genocide.
On Friday, Feb. 14, the world will hear the verdict of the UN weapons inspectors.
The question is not if but when will the
U.S.
launch a swift strike against
Iraq
?
Back to Top
February 3rd, 2003
Canada
is right to stay the UN course
While the
U.S.
engages in dialogue with
North Korea
, it wants to attack
Iraq
OTTAWA
--Iraqi President Saddam Hussein has no, or hardly any friends left. From the Arab
countries to left-leaning regimes, all have seemed to abandon him. There is little
doubt his days are numbered as the U.S. President talks of action against Saddam
"within weeks and not months." But, according to polls, public opinion
in many Western democracies is against any military intervention in
Iraq
to topple Saddam Hussein.
This week, on Wednesday Feb. 5, U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell is to brief
the UN Security Council on further evidence against the Iraqi leadership.
Canada
's Foreign Affairs Minister Bill Graham got a foretaste of it when he met Secretary
Powell in
Washington
last week. Evidently, Minister Graham was not convinced sufficiently to change
Canada
's stance, which is to allow the matter to be handled through the United Nations
system.
In a similar dramatic and much-publicized move, British Prime Minister Tony Blair
a few months ago presented a dossier of evidence against the Iraqi regime. It turned
out to be nothing more than a compilation of evidence already known with no incriminating
evidence against the Iraqi leadership. Such dramatic actions beg the question, if
this evidence has been known to the United States intelligence agencies, why then
has it not been presented to the UN chief weapons inspector who, with a team of
over 100, has been diligently working since November last year trying to find evidence
of weapons of mass destruction. One understands the rational that the
U.S.
does not want to expose its sources but this should not be the reason for withholding
important information from the world body.
Last Monday on Jan. 27, Hans Blix, executive chair of the UN Monitoring, Verification
and Inspection Commission (UNMOVIC), and Mohamed El-Baradei, director-general of
the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) briefed the UN Security Council on
their work over the past two months in
Iraq
. Mr. Blix told the Security Council that on the whole,
Iraq
has cooperated rather well with the UN mission and added, "access has been
provided to all sites we have wanted to inspect and with one exception, it has been
prompt."
However, according to Mr. Blix, the 12,000-page arms declaration submitted by
Baghdad
, while containing some new information, regrettably leaves many questions unanswered.
There is concern about the lack of evidence as to what happened to the deadly VX
nerve agent which Iraq claims was produced on a pilot scale, in small amounts and
in such poor quality that it was never weaponized and was subsequently destroyed.
The weapons inspection chief claims to have information which conflicts with this
Iraqi claim. The UN team also found a box containing some 3,000 pages of documents
at the home of a scientist after
Baghdad
had claimed that it had no more papers to turn over. The UN inspection has asked
for additional time to complete its work but it is unlikely to get an extension
of more than a couple of weeks.
It seems that the decision to attack
Iraq
and remove Saddam Hussein will be made more on an ideological basis than technical
information. The Bush administration is in a rush to remove Saddam Hussein, while
a number of other countries, including
Canada
, are asking for additional time for the UN weapons inspectors to complete their
work. The next UN weapons inspectors' report is scheduled to be presented to the
UN Security Council on Feb. 14. It is widely believed that an attack on
Iraq
is imminent after the presentation of that report.
The ideological play is evident in
Canada
too. The Canadian Alliance is dismissive of the UN and is urging
Canada
to join the
U.S.
in a military action against
Iraq
. At the other end of the spectrum, the New Democratic Party is completely opposed
to any action against Iraq, whether it is endorsed by the UN Security Council or
not. The Bloc Québécois and the Progressive Conservatives will back any action proposed
by the UN. It is the governing Liberals who are in a quandary. Thus far, the government
has indicated that it prefers the matter to be resolved within the United Nations
process. But what if the
U.S.
decides to go it alone with a couple of allies, such as
Britain
and
Australia
? Will
Canada
then be on side with the
U.S.
decision or stay on the sidelines?
There are many questions being raised about the
U.S.
rush to attack
Iraq
. In recent months
North Korea
has announced that it is engaged in a nuclear program in violation of an agreement
with the
U.S.
While
North Korea
expelled two international nuclear inspectors and shut off surveillance cameras
at its nuclear labs,
Iraq
on the other hand has allowed over a hundred weapons inspectors into the country.
While the
U.S.
engages in dialogue with
North Korea
, it wants to attack
Iraq
. Former South African President Nelson Mandela last week speculated, "They
(
U.S.
) just want the oil." While
Britain
's Tony Blair has managed to have seven other European leaders to sign a letter
of support for
U.S.
action, two major European powers,
France
and
Germany
, are staying on the sidelines waiting for a verdict from the UN.
The attack on
Iraq
is more than a response to an imagined imminent threat from
Iraq
.
Canada
is right to stay the UN course.
Back to Top
December 9th, 2002
Resolution 181 is still valid
Fifty-five years ago, the United Nations conceived a solution for
Palestine
in the 11-page Resolution No. 181. It is valid today -- as it was then -- to finding
a peaceful solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
On Nov. 29, 1947, the UN General Assembly adopted Resolution 181, partitioning Palestine,
then under British mandate, into two independent states: one Arab, one Jewish, with
the City of Jerusalem to be established as a separate entity under a special international
regime and to be administered by the United Nations. Although much has changed in
the ensuing half a century, including a couple of major wars, this UN resolution
still remains the basis for a credible solution to the festering problem.
Canada
supported the resolution.
Although a Jewish state -
Israel
was created in the following year-1948. No parallel Arab state ever materialized.
Gaza
fell under Egyptian rule while
Jordan
took control of the West Bank and
Jerusalem
became a divided city. A couple of years later,
Israel
declared
Jerusalem
to be its historic capital, a dream realized following the ouster of
Jordan
from the West Bank and
East Jerusalem
, following the 1967 war. Much of the resentment in the Muslim world, against the
West, in particular the
United States of America
, stems from the unfulfilled promise of an Arab entity.
Jerusalem
remains a city of great spiritual and religious significance for followers of three
great faiths in the world: Christians, Jews and Muslims.
What appears to be a hopeful sign, Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon is quoted
last week of having told a conference in
Jerusalem
last week that he accepts U.S. President George W. Bush's plan outlined last June,
which calls for "two states for two peoples -
Israel
and
Palestine
." While expressing "doubts, reservations and fears" Mr. Sharon stated
"I have come to the conclusion that in the present regional and international
reality,
Israel
must act with courage to accept the political plan..." In return for "cessation
of terror," Mr. Sharon said, "
Israel
will not re-control territories from which it withdrew as a result of political
agreements."
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict's landscape is littered with peace plans, however,
one cannot help but share Mr.
Sharon
's optimism for President Bush's plan, and ultimately that of the UN for the creation
of two states. While half a century of bitter conflict and wars will not see a quick
and easy realization of two states, as originally envisaged and meticulously described
in two pages the UN Resolution 181, the international community and both parties
to the conflict, there is hope that current borders may indeed become an acceptable
international boundary between two states.
UN Resolution 181 called for the two states to "draft a democratic constitution...
recruit armed militia from the residents of the state, sufficient in number to maintain
internal order and to prevent frontier clashes," and preserve "freedom
of transit and visit for residents and citizens of the other state in Palestine
and the City of Jerusalem, subject to considerations of national security..."
In ensuring protection of religious and minority rights, the resolution called for
no restriction to be imposed on "the free use by any citizen of the State of
any language in private intercourse, in commerce, in religion, in the press or in
publications of any kind, or at public meetings. No expropriation of land owned
by an Arab in the Jewish State (by a Jew in the
Arab
State
) shall be allowed except for public purposes."
The far-sighted UN resolution also called for the Economic Union of Palestine, which
would include a customs union with "a common custom tariff with complete freedom
of trade between the states," a joint currency system providing for a single
foreign exchange, joint economic development, especially in respect of irrigation,
land reclamation and soil conservation, and access for both States and for the City
of Jerusalem on a non-discriminatory basis to water and power facilities. A Joint
Economic Board was to "endeavor to secure for
Palestine
's exports fair and equal access to world markets."
The five-member UN Commission charged to oversee the transition period faced a challenging
task. In its report to the General Assembly it stated that "the armed hostility
of both Palestinian and non-Palestinian Arab elements, the lack of co-operation
from the mandatory power (Britain), the disintegrating security situation in Palestine,
and the fact that the Security Council did not furnish the Commission with the necessary
armed assistance, are the factors which have made it impossible for the Commission
to implement the Assembly's resolution."
In its concluding paragraph of its report to the General Assembly, the Commission
warned "...in the absence of forces adequate to restore and maintain law and
order in Palestine following the termination of the Mandate, there will be administrative
chaos, starvation, widespread strife, violence and bloodshed in Palestine, including
Jerusalem." This is what ensued and has been the legacy of the region. The
Commission held its last meeting on May 17, 1948.
The State of Israel was born on May 14, 1948 but no State of Palestine materialized.
Therein lies the crux of the current problem. The international community should
re-visit Resolution 181.
Back to Top
December 2nd, 2002
NATO membership comes with a
heavy price tag
What alternative is there to NATO? The answer, the European Union
A decade after peace broke out following the demise of both the
Soviet Union
and the Yugoslav Federation, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) - a military
alliance -- is busy enlarging by recruiting new member states.
When the Cold War ended with the symbolic tearing down of the Berlin Wall, it was
assumed that the world, in particular
Europe
, would enjoy a peace dividend with less spending on defence and more on social
programs and human resource development. But that was not to be. Instead, what has
transpired is more of the same - as if the Cold War were still with us. Take for
instance the expansion mood in NATO and the need to keep the military machine well-greased
and oiled.
The 19 NATO member states invited seven European countries to join the military
alliance at the Prague Summit on Nov. 21 and 22. An additional number of European
countries are anxiously waiting their turn to be invited to join.
Why the rush to get into NATO, which was founded in 1949 in
Washington
,
D.C.
, primarily to contain Communism? Especially since Communism is dead and so is NATO's
counterpart the Warsaw Pact. Therefore, who needs NATO? Who is the enemy now? Against
whom is NATO expected to fight, especially when the arch Cold War enemy Soviet Union
is splintered and the remnant
Russia
is already cooperating with NATO through the Russia-NATO Council formed in
Rome
in May, 2002?
When one asks European diplomats about their haste to join NATO, hardly any of them
can put forth a convincing reason, other than psychological fear of being conquered
and subjugated again as has been the case in during much of
Europe
's history. The continent's recent history is especially painful following the Second
World War when Soviet troops stormed into
Hungary
,
Poland
and the Baltic states of
Lithuania
,
Latvia
and
Estonia
to establish complete and brutal control. In 1968, the Soviet troops invaded Czechoslavakia
without any resistance from any quarter. This psychological fear, more than any
other reason, perhaps explains the European rush to NATO.
The Czech Republic President Vaclav Havel told the
Summit
, "The principal adversary of the values espoused by the Allinace is not a
state power or a great power that could somehow be located in one way or another.
The enemy is now represented by an evil that is widely diffused and very dangerous
indeed - an evil that we find very difficult to grasp, or even fathom."
If NATO was dithering to find a clear purpose for its existence, U.S. President
George Bush laid out the new-found purpose for NATO at the Prague Summit: "Our
NATO Alliance faces dangers very different from those it was formed to confront...The
Soviet Union is gone, but freedom still has enemies. We're threatened by terrorism,
bred within failed states, it's present within our own cities...For terrorists and
terrorist states, every free nation - every free nation - is a potential target,
including the free nations of
Europe
."
But NATO membership comes with a heavy price tag. "Ours is a military alliance,
and every member must make a military contribution to that alliance. For some allies,
this will require higher defence spending," according to President Bush. The
NATO Secretary General was more blunt when he told the Prague Summit, "There
is no room for passengers. Every NATO member has to add value, to be a net producer
of security in an uncertain world."
This is a further burden for the emerging free market economies of
Eastern Europe
since scarce financial resources will now require to be invested in defence procurement
instead of human resource or infrastructure development. Not only are the fragile
democracies being coerced to spend more on defence but will also accumulate heavy
national debts after upgrading military equipment in order to achieve the required
compatibility with current NATO-member forces. It is likely that many of these struggling
free market economies will buy military equipment from the
United States of America
with readily available loans, which will make them further beholden to the
U.S.
This lack of investment in capital goods will have a further negative impact on
the economies for decades to come. Ironically, no one in NATO knows or does not
want to talk about the cost for each country to join the military alliance.
Canada
, for its part, contributes $150-million a year.
What alternative is there to NATO? The answer, the European Union.
The European Union (EU), since its founding in 1958 with only six members has now
expanded to 15. It has brought stability, prosperity and social progress on the
continent, through its well coordinated policies and programs. The EU has also recognized
the necessity of a defence force and plans to develop a rapid deployment force -
similar to the one being considered by NATO.
NATO and the EU seem to be moving on parallel tracks with the ultimate aim of creating
a secure and stable
Europe
free of the ravages of wars it has suffered so frequently. But
Europe
will need to make a choice between throwing money and resources at military machines
or investing in people and infrastructure.
Back to Top
November 18th, 2002
The next step in
Iraq
What will
Canada
do, if the
U.S.
proceeds to take military action against
Iraq
?
The unanimous (15-0) passage of the
U.S.
and British-sponsored United Nations Security Council Resolution 1441, on Nov. 8,
raises a number of questions about the next step, if
Iraq
does not comply.
The foremost question now is whether the Security Council is required to authorize
further action against
Iraq
for non-compliance or can some individual member state(s) initiate action?
However, the final answer, whether
Iraq
complied with the resolution, will be known by Jan. 8, i.e., 60 days after the adoption
of the resolution, when the weapons inspectors will report on their findings to
the UN Security Council. The joint heads of the UN weapons inspection team, Hans
Blix, executive chair of the UN Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission,
and Mohamed El-Baradei, director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency,
are scheduled to arrive in
Iraq
today, Nov. 18, to lay the groundwork for weapons inspection teams to start arriving
in
Iraq
.
The resolution gave
Iraq
seven days in which to accept the resolution, which it did last week, though after
some hesitancy and only after every other country as well as the Arab League, encouraged
it to do so.
The demanding Security Council Resolution requires the Iraqi government provide
the UN weapons inspectors and the Security Council, within 30 days "a currently
accurate, full, and complete declaration of all aspects of its programs to develop
chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons, ballistic missiles, and other delivery
systems such as unmanned aerial vehicles and disposal systems designed for use on
aircraft, including any holdings and precise locations of such weapons, components,
sub-components, stocks of agents, and related material and equipment, the location
and work of its research, development and production facilities, as well as all
other chemical, biological, and nuclear programs, including any which it claims
are for purposes not related to weapon production or material."
Iraq
in a six-page letter accepting the UN weapons inspectors denies having any weapons
of mass destruction.
Paragraph 4 of Resolution 1441 states that "false statements or omissions in
the declarations submitted by
Iraq
" shall constitute a "material breach" of
Iraq
's obligations. U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell told a press conference in
Ottawa last Thursday that if Iraq does not "give us a complete and accurate
declaration or if there is a lack of compliance with the inspectors...no further
judgment is needed on the part of the inspection team or the Security Council."
What if
Iraq
violates any of the conditions, will the Security Council then meet to consider
the next step, or will the United Sates and
Britain
, along with like-minded countries launch a military strike against
Iraq
?
Secretary Powell said he did not want "to say here now what we might do in
the event of a particular incident" which could be perceived as a violation
of the UN Security Council resolution. He gave credibility to fears that the
U.S.
will act unilaterally when he said, "If the UN decided, for one reason or other,
not to act, then we would put together a strong coalition of like-minded nations."
However, Prime Minister Chrétien's statement released following the passage of Res.
1441 states that failing compliance by
Iraq
, the Security Council "will reconvene immediately to consider the situation
and the need to secure international peace and security."
But, what will
Canada
do, if the
U.S.
proceeds to take military action against
Iraq
, without UN Security Council approval? Will it abandon its staunch belief in the
multilateral approach and be obliged to back the
U.S.
action? Will a retiring Prime Minister dare to keep
Canada
on the sidelines if the country's almost only trading partner is involved in a major
military undertaking?
U.S. Ambassador to the UN, John Negroponte, also hinted at U.S. unilateral action
against Iraq, when he told the Security Council on Nov. 8, following the passing
of Resolution 1441, that if the Security Council failed to act decisively in the
event of further Iraqi violation, the resolution did not constraint any Member State
from acting to defend itself against the threat posed by that country, or to enforce
relevant United Nations resolutions and protect world peace and security. Having
said that, the
U.S.
ambassador also told the Council that the resolution contained no "hidden triggers"
and no "automaticity" with the use of force. But will the
United States
use the premise of protecting world peace to launch military action against
Iraq
?
But the Mexican representative on the Security Council, Adolpho Aguilar Zinser,
seemed to think that the resolution had eliminated "automaticity" in the
use of force as a result of material breach and that the use of force was only valid
as a last resort, with prior, explicit authorization of the Council.
There are also the questions whether any Iraqi activities in the no-fly zone, established
since the 1991 Gulf War, will be considered violation of the recent UN resolution.
Secretary of State Colin Powell has earned much global goodwill for the Bush administration
for working through the United Nations to give President Saddam Hussein "a
final opportunity" to comply with the UN resolutions. One hopes the UN continues
to be the forum for discussing world issues.
Back to Top
November 4th, 2002
EU admits divided country
of
Cyprus
and yet rejects
Turkey
's application
What part of
Cyprus
will become a member of the EU? The Greek or the Turkish?
The European Union (EU) is in an expansion mode, but not everyone is allowed in.
Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland,
Slovakia, and Slovenia are scheduled to join the existing 15 EU members in time
for the elections to the European Parliament scheduled in June, 2004. However,
Turkey
, which applied to join long before the current crop of applicants in 1987, is being
told to continue to wait patiently.
There is quiet concern that entry to the much-sought-after EU membership is being
used as a political pawn by a current member
Greece
. How else does one explain the acceptance of the divided island-nation of
Cyprus
and not
Turkey
. The Turkish-Cypriot leader Rauf Denktash told us in July in
Girne
,
Cyprus
that
Greece
is "blackmailing Europe" by threatening to veto any new members' entry
to the EU, if
Cyprus
is not accepted. It seems
Greece
succeeded.
The turf war between
Greece
and
Turkey
is over the 800,000 inhabitants on the Mediterranean
island
of
Cyprus
. These two countries have tangled over the island ever since it gained independence
from
Britain
in 1960:
Greece
wanting to annex it and
Turkey
wanting to protect the Turkish minority. With no suitable solution to establishing
a harmonious Greek-Turkish nation-state,
Cyprus
has remained a divided country since 1974. Since then, 40 per cent of the northern
part, known as the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus has been inhabited by 18
per cent of the predominantly Turkish population of the island, and the remainder
by 77 per cent Greek population and other small minorities including Armenians,
Maronites and British descendents.
The United Nations-sponsored weekly face-to-face talks between the Turkish and Greek
Cypriot leaders, Rauf Denktash and Glafcos Clerides respectively, held as recently
as last month have not produced any results. Therefore, in its haste to extend membership
to
Cyprus
which in practice means the Greek-Cypriot part of the island, the EU has permanently
damaged prospects for unification of the island. As the Turkish Cypriot National
Assembly Speaker Dr. Vehbi Zeki Serter told some of us visiting
Cyprus
in July, "The Republic of Cyprus does not exist." The solution now would
be to accept the existence of two sovereign and equal states on the island and as
such accord them appropriate international recognition. There is no movement of
people or goods across the UN supervised buffer zone.
There are no unifying symbols on
Cyprus
. For instance, there is no national anthem of
Cyprus
. Instead, each community sings the tune of its respective "protector"
--
Greece
or
Turkey
. The respective communities fly Turkish and Greek flags. This is what makes it
hard to understand the basis on which the European Union justifies admitting a divided
country? What part of
Cyprus
will become a member of the EU? The Greek or the Turkish?
To make matters worse the EU rejected
Turkey
's application for membership. However,
Turkey
is being told that there is still lingering hope for its membership of the EU when
European leaders meet for the summit in December in
Copenhagen
. Since Greece seems to have succeeded in holding the EU to ransom to approve Cyprus'
entry to the EU, it does not now feel compelled to smooth Turkey's entry to the
EU.
The European Union has successfully expanded from its original six members to the
current 15, is likely to face many challenges as it prepares for its largest historic
intake of 10 new members. These countries of central and
Eastern Europe
, which only a dozen years ago were under Communist rule, will bring a wealth of
different histories and cultures. However, given its successful expansion track
record, there is little doubt that the European Union will not also meet this new
challenge.
In order to join the EU, a prospective member must be a stable democracy, respecting
human rights, the rule of law, and the protection of minorities; have a functioning
market economy; and adopt the common rules, standards and policies that make up
the body of EU law. The EU provides the member countries a range of financial assistance
to improve their infrastructure and economy, including the massive much-criticized
U.S. $300-billion in subsidies for farmers.
While Turkey recently has taken various measures to qualify for membership of the
EU, including abolishing the death penalty and permitting the use of minority languages
and broadcasts in these languages, especially Kurdish, according to the European
Commission, Turkey does not yet meet "the political conditions."
Turkey's strategic geo-political location earned it membership of NATO during the
Cold War and currently its soldiers are part of the U.S.-led force in Afghanistan
and its bases will help in any attack on Iraq but its 67 million people mostly of
Muslim faith are quietly cited as one possible reason why Europeans are apprehensive
of accepting it as the first Muslim member of the European Union. For this, the
Greek opposition,
Cyprus
factor, or whatever other reason, it appears
Turkey
will be waiting outside the European door for a while to come.
Back to Top
October 21st, 2002
Keith Martin desperately seeking
limelight
Dialogue, diplomacy but not demonizing is the Canadian way. But this seems to be
lost on the Canadian Alliance MP Keith Martin.
This week the Alliance MP is planning to introduce a motion in the House asking
the government to expel
Zimbabwe
's High Commissioner to
Canada
. He is also seeking to recall recently-appointed Canadian High Commissioner to
Zimbabwe
, to expel
Zimbabwe
from the Commonwealth, to haul President Mugabe before the International Criminal
Court, and even proposed to send a "peace-making" force into that country.
What will all this achieve? And, will it help resolve the situation in
Zimbabwe
? Absolutely not! All this exercise will result in, is provide some limelight for
the flustered MP Martin.
Mr. Martin believes land is not the issue in
Zimbabwe
. Any student of history or political situation in
Zimbabwe
will tell you that land is the
root cause of the problems in
Zimbabwe
. Since this basic fact is lost on the Alliance MP, his whole argument against the
Mugabe government is wasted.
Having spent some years in the early 80s living in the then newly-independent
Zimbabwe
, I met farmers some of whom boastfully would tell about being given land in return
for their service in the army in other British colonies of
India
or
Burma
. Since many of the British did not want to return home and in the hope of perpetuating
colonial hold over the then colony of
Rhodesia
(renamed
Zimbabwe
at independence), many whites were lured by offers of land to settle in
Zimbabwe
. This created a major problem as newly-arrived white farmers dispossessed the indigenous
black farmers, for whom the only recourse was to become farm labourers under the
new colonial masters.
At independence in 1980,
Zimbabwe
's first democratically-elected government of President Mugabe vowed to honour its
promise of land redistribution. It promised to restore the confiscated land back
to its rightful owners. At independence, and on various subsequent occasions,
Britain
promised to help the new Zimbabwean government with the resettlement of landless
blacks. There had been success stories of resettlement programs, such as the one
in
Kenya
following its independence in 1963. But,
Britain
continued to renege on its promise to help the Zimbabwean government buy back willing-seller
white-owned farms for settling blacks. Under this scheme, the white farmers would
have been able to sell their farms at a fair market price, the Zimbabwean government
would have been to fulfill its promise to restore the land back to the black farmers
and the international donor community would have helped in the resettlement program
with training programs and providing initial agricultural inputs for making it a
successful venture. This would have been a win-win situation for all. Unfortunately,
Britain
reneged, and the whole scheme came unraveled. This is the brief history of
Zimbabwe
's land problem.
The result was lawlessness and squatters moving onto abandoned farms. In the process
the Mugabe government got a black eye on the international scene for failing to
protect the white farmers and letting law and order disintegrate.
With no financial assistance forthcoming from
Britain
or the international community to resolve this politically-charged issue, the Zimbabwean
government undertook to proceed with its own land re-distribution program. It aimed
to target only those white farmers with multiple farms and promised to compensate
only for the improvements on the land but not for the land since it claims it was
stolen in the first place. A number of private commercial enterprises and commercial
banks are helping the Zimbabwean government finance the resettlement program.
To date, 354,000 black Zimbabwean families have been resettled. Among this large
number there are bound to be some who are related to President Mugabe. But it would
be stretching the imagination to think that this large number is made up only of
the relatives of the President as alleged by Mr. Martin.
The other often-repeated allegation of the Alliance MP is that President Mugabe
has "engineered a famine" is also a fallacy. Otherwise how does he explain
the drought, which has struck much of Southern Africa, including
Zimbabwe
's neighbors
Malawi
,
Mozambique
and
Zambia
? By Mr. Martin's logic one could lay the blame for the drought in western
Canada
also at the doorsteps of President Mugabe.
One often wonders why, of the 54 member countries of the Commonwealth, only three
- Britain, Australia and New Zealand, which all also happen to be white, are the
only ones leading the charge against President Mugabe, while neighbouring countries,
including South Africa are calling for resolution through dialogue and diplomacy.
Canada
is on the right track to remain engaged in various international efforts to resolve
the situation in
Zimbabwe
. The recently-appointed Canadian High Commissioner John Schram, a seasoned Africanist,
is right to have told President Mugabe when presenting credentials on October 10,
"We believe land reform is central and can be done in a way that will ensure
food production." To this President Mugabe responded, "Engage us in the
normal Canadian way."
Back to Top
October 7th, 2002
Canada
's federal politicians are in a big quandary over
It persists in not knowing what to do if and when the
U.S.
decides to launch a unilateral military attack
Canada
is in a quandary. Should it or should it not join the
U.S.
in an attack on
Iraq
to remove President Saddam Hussein? Should it wait until the United Nations sanctions
such an action? What will
Canada
do if the
U.S.
decides to go ahead, without the approval of the UN Security Council? Three of the
five Security Council permanent members
China
, France, and
Russia
, are still holding out against sanctioning military action against
Iraq
, with only
Britain
supporting the
U.S.
Is
Canada
a victim of its geography and condemned to support any
U.S.
action against
Iraq
? Will
Canada
's friendship, particularly hefty positive balance of trade with the
U.S.
suffer, if this country does not join the
U.S.
in an attack on
Iraq
?
These and many other questions were raised during the debate on
Iraq
in the House of Commons last week. Liberal, Bloc Québécois, New Democrat and Progressive
Conservative MPs cautioned against any hasty and quick military action against Saddam
Hussein, but the Canadian Alliance expressed unequivocal support for an immediate
U.S.
attack on
Iraq
.
While many MPs credit U.S. President George W. Bush for recently going before the
UN General Assembly to present his case against
Iraq
, they now also want him to await UN Security Council authorization, which would
symbolize international consensus, prior to launching any military attack against
Iraq
.
Cautioning the
U.S.
against unilateral action, Foreign Affairs Minister Bill Graham told the House,
"unilateral action may have the benefit of clarity but it would lack international
legitimacy. As well it risks destabilizing world order and possibly destroying the
credibility of the United Nations itself. It risks destabilizing the
Middle East
. It risks destabilizing countries well beyond the region, to
Pakistan
, and with it the efforts that we are making in
Afghanistan
to recreate peace in that community, to
Indonesia
, to
India
and
Malaysia
where large Muslim populations watch with concern these developments."
According to Minister Graham obtaining a UN Security Council resolution would provide
Iraq
with a "fair and final opportunity to comply with the UN's inspections"
of alleged stockpiling of weapons of mass destruction, and secondly, "set out
the consequences if it fails to do so."
During the debate on the situation in
Iraq
, some MPs cited lack of credible evidence against Saddam Hussein to effect regime
change, while others questioned
U.S.
motives for wanting to attack
Iraq
now, and some questioned the moral right of one nation to attack another to remove
a leader.
As to U.S. President Bush's motives for wanting to attack
Iraq
, New Democrat MP Svend Robinson told the House, "This is all about fulfilling
what his father did not finish. It is about regime change. It is about oil. It is
about mid-term elections and we in
Canada
must not be a party to that violence and that brutality."
Similarly, Liberal MP Jim Karygiannis reasoned, "The United States is going
into Congressional and Senate elections and needs an external evil to rally Republican
voters to go to the polls."
Another Liberal MP Bonnie Brown also questioned, "
America
, which has not yet caught last year's villain, is arranging a comeback for the
villain of 1990. Is this because of the
United States
' faltering economy? Is it to distract from the scandals of corporate corruption
and falling stock markets? Is it to ignite fires of patriotism and support the President
just before a November election so he can gain a majority of seats in the Senate?
Is it about a secure supply of oil or more business for the arms manufacturers?"
According to Secretary of State for Central and Eastern Europe and the
Middle East
, Liberal MP Gar Knutson, since Saddam Hussein came to power in 1978 his regime
has pursued essentially two policies: "the ruthless repression of its own people
and military aggression against its neighbours with the aims of asserting regional
dominance and acquiring territory."
Canadian Alliance MP Rahim Jaffer said he thinks, "Saddam Hussein poses a world
threat, a threat to his people in the region and to other democracies around the
world. He may even possess, and actually the proof is there, the type of military
equipment to be able to do so."
But, while Canadian Alliance Leader Stephen Harper said he thinks British Prime
Minister Tony Blair recently "laid out in great detail the efforts of Saddam
Hussein to acquire new weapons of mass destruction and to conceal existing ones
unaccounted for at the end of the Gulf War," Liberal MP Colleen Beaumier called
it yet "another non-proof document."
Progressive Conservative Leader Joe Clark urged taking the UN route to getting a
resolution to the
Iraq
stalemate and his colleague Bill Casey advised taking "the diplomatic route,
at least at first."
The quandary for
Canada
persists in not knowing what to do if and when the
U.S.
decides to launch a unilateral military attack against
Iraq
. It could stay on the sidelines as it did during the Vietnam War.
Back to Top
September 30th, 2002
How are Bush's observations
any different from Jean Chrétien's?
The Bush administration recently released a 31-page National Security Strategy.
Call it a doctrine or a document - it is the most comprehensive and forthright policy
pronouncement from the Bush White House on its intentions in foreign, defence and
national security areas.
In the preface to the document, U.S. President George Bush states: "Poverty
does not make poor people into terrorists and murderers. Yet poverty, weak institutions,
and corruption can make weak states vulnerable to terrorist networks and drug cartels
within their borders."
How is this observation any different from Prime Minister Jean Chrétien's statement
about the vulnerability of weak and failed states, such as
Afghanistan
, from becoming havens for terrorists? While Osama bin Laden is/was a rich man,
his recruits came from poor or failed states such as
Afghanistan
, or where coupled with these conditions anti-Americanism was also ripe, as in
Saudi Arabia
,
Pakistan
,
Yemen
, and
Sudan
. Toss in a bit of religious fundamentalism, and one has terrorists willing to undertake
suicide missions.
While Canadian Alliance Leader Stephen Harper tried to score political points by
criticizing Mr. Chrétien's statement and asking him to apologize to the Americans,
experienced politician and Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party Joe Clark
agreed that "it is beyond question that there is a direct relation between
those phenomena (poverty, extremism and terror)" and added "it was appropriate
for the Prime Minister to say so." Even the Bush document states: "
America
is now threatened less by conquering states than we are by failing ones."
One cannot also dismiss the perceived failure of the
U.S.
government in resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict because of its unconditional
support for
Israel
. To those familiar with the Arab world, there is no doubt, the "Arab street"
is a friend of the
United States
. The young Arabs envy the freedom and fashion of the
U.S.
What they fail to comprehend is the
United States
' support for autocratic and dictatorial leaders in the Muslim countries. One can
safely predict that just as the Afghanis with blaring radios danced in the streets
of the capital
Kabul
following the U.S.-led attack, a similar scene will be repeated in
Baghdad
. If President Bush were to put half the effort to establishing a Palestinian state
as he is putting into removing Saddam Hussein, his job of achieving the latter will
be much easier to accomplish.
The Bush "Doctrine" chapters cover such areas as human dignity, strengthening
alliances, regional conflicts, weapons of mass destruction, economic growth through
free markets and free trade, opening societies and building democracy, cooperating
with "other centres of global power," and transforming
U.S.
national security institutions. The document devotes considerable space to fighting
terrorism and encouraging "free trade and free markets" which have "proven
their ability to lift whole societies out of poverty." The President puts the
world on notice that the war against terrorists is "of global reach...a global
enterprise...of uncertain duration."
President Bush acknowledges, "the
United States
enjoys a position of unparalleled military strength and great economic and political
influence," but "we do not use our strength to press for unilateral advantage."
While many are accusing the
US
of acting unilaterally, according to President Bush "no nation can build a
safer, better world alone."
President Bush dispels any doubts that the
U.S.
will build a national missile defence system and writes, "We will build defenses
against ballistic missiles and other means of delivery."
It dismisses signing a Kyoto-like deal and on the newly-established International
Criminal Court, the document states unequivocally "efforts to meet our global
security commitments and protect Americans are not impaired by the potential for
investigations, inquiry, or prosecution by the International Criminal Court, whose
jurisdiction does not extend to Americans and which we do not accept."
The document acknowledges "There is little of lasting consequence that the
United States
can accomplish in the world without the sustained cooperation of its allies and
friends in
Canada
and
Europe
." It calls on NATO to develop "new structures and capabilities"
to carry out missions under "new circumstances," including building "a
capability to field, at short notice, highly mobile, specially trained forces whenever
they are needed to respond to a threat against any member of the alliance."
The most telling signal in the document is that the
U.S.
national security strategy will be based on "a distinctly American internationalism,"
but warns the
U.S.
"will not hesitate to act alone, if necessary, to exercise our right of self-defense
by acting preemptively against terrorists, to prevent them from doing harm against
our people and our country."
In the end, one is left wondering, is the
U.S.
pursuing unilateralism or multilateralism?
Back to Top
September 16th, 2002
Iraqis deserve tranquility
If and when the
United States
attacks
Iraq
,
Canada
will be on side. It will offer whatever moral and military support it can muster.
However, meanwhile,
Canada
must go through the motions of seeming to be deciding whether to back the
U.S.
or not in the event of an attack on
Iraq
. Towards this end, the Commons Foreign Affairs Committee will meet this week and
the House on its return will most likely hold an emergency debate on proposed
U.S.
action against
Iraq
.
U.S. President George W. Bush came to the United Nations General Assembly last Thursday
to make the case against
Iraq
. In so doing he knew he faced an uphill task to convince world leaders of the necessity
to attack
Iraq
. Thus far, the
U.S.
is supported only by
Britain
and
Israel
in its desire to remove Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, who has ruled this country
of 23 million since 1979.
While he presented no new evidence, President Bush listed a series of UN resolutions
not yet complied by
Iraq
under President Saddam Hussein. According to the White House,
Iraq
has violated some 16 United Nations Security Council Resolutions over the past decade.
Apart from withdrawing from Kuwait, which he invaded almost 12 years ago, Hussein
was required by UN resolutions to allow international weapons inspectors to oversee
the destruction of his weapons of mass destruction, not develop new weapons of mass
destruction, stop support for terrorism and prevent terrorist organizations from
operating within Iraq, help account for missing Kuwaitis and other nationals, including
one American pilot, return stolen Kuwaiti property and bear financial liability
for damage from the Gulf War and cease the repression of his own people. President
Bush told the United Nations, "by breaking every pledge...Saddam Hussein has
made the case against himself." He also accused
Iraq
of producing and storing biological and chemical weapons, as well as wanting to
develop nuclear weapons.
The issue of allowing unconditional access to international weapons inspectors may
help avert an attack on
Iraq
. It has been four years since the last UN weapons inspectors were in
Iraq
. President Bush wants the unconditional return of these inspectors to
Iraq
, as does most of the international community. Foreign Affairs Minister Bill Graham
also called for an "immediate and unconditional access to UN weapons inspection
teams in compliance with its UN Security Council obligations." Failing to abide
by this demand,
Iraq
will leave itself vulnerable to an attack by an international force, which will
most likely be sanctioned by the United Nations Security Council. Of the five permanent
members of the Council, whose votes are essential to approve such an attack, only
China
is expected to abstain, while
Britain
,
France
,
Russia
will support it.
In their speeches to the United Nations General Assembly on the same day that U.S.
President George W. Bush spoke to the UN General Assembly, both UN Secretary General
Kofi Annan and Foreign Affairs Minister Bill Graham spoke of pursuing multilateralism
over unilateral actions by nations. In making his case for an international response
the UN Secretary General mentioned "multilateralism" almost 10 times and
told the General Assembly that the statesmen of 1945 in founding the United Nations
recognized that "by agreeing to exercise sovereignty together, they could gain
a hold over problems that would defeat any of them acting separately." The
challenge for the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee is to come up with
a bold and visionary plan to avoid loss of more innocent Iraqi lives and further
destruction of infrastructure. The Commons committee is fortunately made up of experienced
MPs, including Svend Robinson, Sarkis Assadourian, Marlene Jennings, Francine Lalonde,
and Bill Casey, who are knowledgeable about the
Middle East
and its challenges and will hopefully propose an internationally accepted solution.
Iraq
, the only country in the Middle East blessed both with water and oil and its people
who trace their civilization to the famed days of
Babylon
, deserve tranquillity. "They've suffered too long in silent captivity.
Liberty
for the Iraqi people is a moral cause, and a strategic goal. The people of
Iraq
deserve it," as President Bush rightly told the United Nations.
Back to Top
August 19th, 2002
British colonial injustices
continue to haunt troubled
Zimbabwe
Problems could have been avoided had international community helped finance land
distribution programs
Land has and continues to dominate political and economic life in
Zimbabwe
. The recent acquisition of white commercial farmers' land by the Zimbabwean government
for distribution to landless blacks has attracted much attention in the West.
In
Canada
, Liberal MP David Pratt is calling for hauling
Zimbabwe
's President Robert Mugabe before the International Criminal Court and his country
from the Commonwealth. Canadian Alliance MP Keith Martin accuses President Mugabe
of "engaging in state terrorism against his own people" and is calling
for an international force to intervene in
Zimbabwe
.
But none of these knee-jerk reactions is a solution to resolving the situation in
Zimbabwe
.
Canada
's Foreign Affairs Minister Bill Graham has taken a sensible approach by calling
the events in
Zimbabwe
as "disturbing" and promising to "continue to monitor the situation."
Unfortunately, those engaged in hysteria aimed at demonizing Mr. Mugabe, fail to
understand that land will remain a political hot potato -- regardless of who is
the president of
Zimbabwe
-- until it is satisfactorily resolved.
Mr. Mugabe, who has won five elections since
Zimbabwe
became independent in 1980, led the liberation movement during which 50,000 blacks
died fighting to recover their stolen land and put an end to colonial rule. The
unfairness of the situation is reflected in the fact that at the time of independence
in 1980, three per cent of the white population owned 51 million acres of the most
arable land, while 97 per cent of the black population eked out subsistence living
on 45 million acres.
Two decades after independence, about 4,100 white farmers in a population of 12
million blacks still own 70 per cent of the country's best land.
How the whites, mostly British, came to own such huge tracts of land is the sordid
story of colonialism. About 20 years ago when I went to buy a piece of land outside
the capital Harare, the white farm owner told me he had been given the land for
his services as an officer in the British Army in India.
A similar story of land grants following the Second World War is the story of British
colonial legacy in
Africa
. Most of the indigenous black farmers were never compensated for the loss of their
small-scale subsistence farms. Instead, many of them ended up working for the new
white owners as labourers. Many black farm labourers can recall when their fathers
or grandfathers used to own the very land on which they are now employed as labourers.
For the first 10 years after independence from
Britain
in 1980, the Mugabe government decided to pursue a policy of "willing seller/willing
buyer" policy. The government was anxious to acquire as much land as possible
to satisfy the need to settle the many black Zimbabweans who had fought to recover
the land, which was stolen from them.
The white farmers balked at selling their huge land holdings, often asking double
or triple the market price. The British government also reneged on its promise to
provide financial assistance after independence to help meet the land re-distribution
plans of the government. This coupled, with financial constraints on the newly independent
nation's resources, made it almost impossible for the government to satisfy the
land hunger among its black landless population. In the first decade after independence,
from 1980-1990, the government could only settle 71,000 families out of a targeted
162,000.
International donor conferences in 1980 and 1998 failed to generate the necessary
resources to implement the government's land re-distribution programs. At the last
attempt to find a negotiated solution at a conference at
Abuja
,
Nigeria
in September 2001, the British government agreed to provide financial assistance
as well as help mobilize international donors.
During the first seven years after independence, 20 of the 100 seats in the
Zimbabwe
parliament were reserved for whites to protect their interests. Frustrated and seeing
the futility of the "willing seller/willing buyer" scheme, President Mugabe
embarked on acquiring white farmers' land at government established prices. The
owners were to have recourse to the courts in case dispute resulted over the price
offered by the government.
The Mugabe government's actions were also prompted by British Secretary of State
Clare Short who reneged on earlier promises and announced that, "We do not
accept that
Britain
has a special responsibility to meet the costs of land purchase in
Zimbabwe
."
Previously, in similar cases,
Britain
had financed the sale of British owned farms -- such as in
Kenya
-- to assist the government in settling black farmers. At this stage,
Britain
launched a full frontal diplomatic and media attack against the Mugabe government.
In the Commonwealth Australia,
New Zealand
led by
Britain
essentially ignored the longstanding historic inequity of the land distribution
and instead made it look like a racial issue. It pitted the "white" Commonwealth
against the rest. To
Canada
's credit, it stayed out of the British sway.
No African government has severed links with
Zimbabwe
or criticized President Mugabe's actions in solving the land problem.
Zimbabwe
's neighbor,
South Africa
, is facing a similar land re-distribution problem but has established a commission
to resolve the potentially explosive issue. Last year, there were attempts by frustrated
landless blacks to take over white farmlands in
South Africa
but police quickly quelled the attempt.
At the insistence of
Britain
,
Australia
and
New Zealand
, the Commonwealth at its Heads of Government Meeting earlier this year suspended
Zimbabwe
for a year.
Britain
is also using its membership in the European Union to garner actions against the
Mugabe government and is alleged to be funneling money and resources to the opposition
parties and groups in
Zimbabwe
. While
Britain
continues its attempts to isolate President Mugabe, he has only recently returned
from successful visits to
Malaysia
and
Singapore
.
The current state could have been avoided if the international community had paid
heed to calls for financing to buy white farms and aided in redistribution of them
to black landless Zimbabweans. An international commission to ensure transparency
and to ensure fairness could have overseen this exercise. Unfortunately,
Canada
failed to see this issue clearly and consequently to take the lead in establishing
such an exercise. Our leaders were perhaps listening to British advise with its
inherent colonial bias rather than chalking its own independent course.
While some media reports attribute drought conditions in
Zimbabwe
to President Mugabe's policies, one must realize that similar conditions exist in
neighbouring countries of
Malawi
,
Zambia
,
Mozambique
,
Botswana
and northern
South Africa
. Recently
Canada
's International Cooperation Minister Susan Whelan, in announcing a $34-million
drought relief package for the countries of the region, also included
Zimbabwe
.
When will the situation return to normal in
Zimbabwe
? When the historic British colonial injustices have been addressed and the promise
of the long and bitter freedom of struggle to provide equitable redistribution of
land fulfilled. In the process there will be more hiccups but it is the only solution
to restoring justice and dignity to the people of
Zimbabwe
.
Canada
should play an active role to help ensure the success of this exercise.
Back to Top
August 5th, 2002
So what part of
Cyprus
will become a member of EU?
GIRNE
,
CYPRUS
--No single entity known as
Republic
of
Cyprus
exists on this Mediterranean island. Instead there are two de facto states --
Cyprus
and the
Turkish
Republic
of Northern Cyprus (TRNC), the 78-year old charismatic President Rauf Denktash
of TRNC, told an international gathering here recently.
Cyprus
is made up of two peoples -- Greeks and Turks and their two respective cultures
and religions: Greek Orthodox and Islam. The two entities even have their own national
anthems, which happen to be those of
Greece
and
Turkey
. There is no national anthem of
Cyprus
!
Furthermore, since 1974, there is no movement of people or goods between the two
states. The border between the two is effectively sealed with fenced buffer zone
patrolled by United Nations peacekeeping force, UNFICYP, keeping Greek and Turk
origin Cypriots apart. The border even splits the capital
Nicosia
, with the Turkish side now renamed Lefkosia.
For all practical purposes, therefore,
Cyprus
is an island of two states: one Greek Cypriot and the other Turkish Cypriot. But
the international community, including all members of the United Nations, except
Turkey
, does not recognize the
Turkish
Republic
of Northern
Cyprus
. This two-states status is wracking havoc in the diplomatic world.
Cyprus
, which became independent of
Britain
in 1960, experienced the same tribulations of population displacement as post-colonial
India-Pakistan and Israel-Palestine. The 1960 Constitution worked out an idealistic
formula whereby
Cyprus
would have a president from the majority Greek Cypriot population and a vice-president
from the minority Turkish Cypriots. The demographic reality was also to be reflected
in the makeup of the Council of Ministers with seven Greek Cypriots and three Turkish
Cypriots and the House of Commons to have 35 Greek Cypriots and 15 Turkish Cypriots.
At present, the Turkish who account for 18 per cent of the population, occupy 40
per cent of the northern part of the island while Greeks account for 77 per cent
of the population. Other five per cent of the population includes Armenians, Latins,
Maronites and British descendants.
In 1963, the constitutional arrangement of 1960 fell apart with the Turkish population
accusing the Greek Cypriot counterparts of helping to annex the island to
Greece
. For the next 11 years the Turkish representatives stayed out of the power sharing
institutions and the Turkish population alleges to have been victimized by the Greek
Cypriots to cause their exodus. When in 1974,
Greece
backed a plan to topple the Cypriot government,
Turkey
invaded the island to defend Turkish Cypriots and stall any moves by
Greece
to annex the island.
Turkey
justifies the intervention as its obligation as one of the guarantors of the 1960
constitution,
Britain
and
Greece
being the other two.
Britain
stayed on the sidelines, perhaps it did not want to jeopardize the presence of its
two bases on "sovereign" territory in Greek-Cypriot part of the island.
Most of the world sees
Turkey
's 1974 military intervention as an invasion of the island and refuses to recognize
the subsequently established
Turkish
Republic
of Northern
Cyprus
. But to most Turkish Cypriots non-recognition by the world does not mean non-existence
of a viable state. According to the Speaker of the TRNC Assembly,
Dr. Vehbi Zeki Serter, the
day the Turkish troops landed on
Cyprus
, the Turkish Cypriots "began to live like human beings." He calls Turkish
troops "troops of peace" because since their arrival there has been peace
on the island with no fighting between the two communities.
To further muddy international waters
Greece
has been pushing for membership of
Cyprus
to the European Union. The question being asked is what part of
Cyprus
will become a member of the EU -- the whole
Republic
of
Cyprus
? Or just the southern Greek-Cypriot dominated part? What will be the status of
the Turkish
Republic
of
Northern Cyprus
? Will the TRNC then be considered by the EU as illegally occupied territory by
Turkey
? And how will all this impact on
Turkey
's own applications for membership of the EU? The EU Copenhagen Summit in December
of this year is to determine further course of action on
Cyprus
' membership. TRNC President Denktash says
Greece
is "blackmailing Europe" by threatening to veto any new members to the
EU, if
Cyprus
is not accepted.
Those favouring
Cyprus
's entry to the EU are citing guarantees of minority rights as one of the fundamental
aspects of the membership.
But the Turkish Cypriots remember only well enough when no country, except
Turkey
, came to their rescue during 11 years of harsh treatment at the hands of the majority
Greek Cypriots. TRNC's Foreign Affairs and Defence Minister, Tahsin Ertugruloglu,
told our international gathering that "EU is not a source of hope" and
Cyprus
's membership in the EU "is nothing other than a huge threat to Turkish Cypriots."
Turkish Cypriot President Denktash and Greek Cypriot President
Glafcos Clerides have been holding thrice weekly meeting for the
last six months sponsored by the EU and the UN. Few in the diplomatic community
think these talks will lead to any solution. They are seen as gestures to appease
the world community and window-dressing in the hope of entry to the EU by
Cyprus
and
Turkey
.
The solution lies in accepting the reality of two states on this scenic and strategic
island
of
Cyprus
, and granting such recognition by the world community, and then independently pursuing
the question of EU membership for both
Turkey
and
Cyprus
.
Back to Top
June 24th, 2002
The 800 million Africans
deserve better treatment
Africa
needs someone to champion their cause to create a level playing field in order for
them to finally compete fairly on the world trade scene, it is time
This week Prime Minister Jean Chrétien steps into the limelight at the G8 Summit
in Kananaskis, to champion a new partnership for
Africa
's development. He will present G8 leaders' response to the African leaders' plan
for a New Partnership for
Africa
's Development (NEPAD). NEPAD pledges good governance and sound economic management.
In return for financial assistance and investment flow from the developed countries
African nations will strive to kick-start their sagging economies and reverse the
trend of negative growth rates.
Mr. Chrétien faces a challenging task as there are other items competing for G8
leaders' attention. The two other items vying for attention on the G8 leaders' agenda
are the coordination of international response to the Sept. 11 attacks on the
U.S.
and the state of the world economy. U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell, at the
G8 foreign ministers' meeting in Whistler, B.C., two weeks ago, publicly stated
there are other areas of the world as equally deserving of assistance as
Africa
. Other than discussion on counter-terrorism measures, the G8 leaders are also likely
to focus on the India-Pakistan conflict and the ongoing and explosive situation
in the
Middle East
. But as chair and dean of the G8 leaders, Mr. Chrétien is adamant that
Africa
will not be pushed off the agenda.
While NEPAD calls for an immediate infusion of $64-billion in assistance, Finance
Minister John Manley managed to broker only a $22-billion aid package for the world's
poorest countries with his G8 counterparts at the recent Halifax meeting. A decision
was reached after much wrangling between the U.S. which favours giving half the
money as outright grants and the European countries which prefer giving loans to
developing countries. The arrangement reached will now see one-fifth of the total
aid package given as grants for such basic needs as education, health, sanitation,
supply of water and nutrition.
In keeping with its commitment to NEPAD, Canada has already committed $500-million
Canadian for a new African assistance fund and an annual eight-per cent increase
in overall development assistance. Last week International Cooperation Minister
Susan Whelan added an additional $34.2-million Canadian to alleviate hunger in sub-Saharan
Africa.
While African leaders are pleading for a reduction in trade tariffs and more open
and increased access for their products to the industrialized countries, governments
of these developed economies, including Canada, are busy announcing protectionist
measures, such as the recently-announced subsidies to farmers. Just a couple of
days before announcing aid to Canadian farmers, Prime Minister Chrétien told CBC-TV's
Newsworld: "While there is $50-billion a year of aid going to Africa, you know,
there is $350-billion dollars a year that the Americans and the Europeans are giving
to their farmers to create artificial prices for food. It makes no sense."
Another policy that does not make sense is tied aid. Tied aid is reminiscent of
the colonial experience when ruling powers bought raw materials from colonies, not
at market prices, but for whatever they chose to pay. This policy currently requires
countries receiving aid to spend almost two-thirds of the money to buy services
and goods from the donor country. Algeria's African Affairs Minister Abdelkader
Messahel, during a recent visit to Ottawa, said currently a $1-million aid package
is split as follows: $600,000 back to the donor country for consultants' studies
and reports, $300,000 in corruption on both sides, and only $100,000 filtering down
to the intended recipients.
The almost hundred-year colonial experience was replaced by 40 years of Cold War
during which Africa became the pawn between the two ideological camps -- the capitalist
West and socialist East. Each bloc was more concerned about securing and sustaining
spheres of influence than the economic welfare of the client states. Also, during
this period, there was no desire on the part of the Western powers to encourage
democratic institution building. For instance, the U.S. backed one-person dictatorial
regime of General Mobutu in the resource-rich Zaire for over 40 years and the West
backed the White minority apartheid regime in South Africa. This complicity and
tacit support of corrupt regimes came at the expense of building institutions for
good governance and sound economic management. Since the demise of the Soviet Union,
there is now demand, and rightly so, for democratization in Africa. And African
countries are responding favorably.
The West remains culpable in allegations of a culture of corruption in Africa. As
the saying goes, it takes two hands to clap, western businesses have been complicit
in funneling funds into African leaders' overseas numbered secret accounts in order
to win lucrative contracts.
The 800 million Africans deserve better treatment at the hands of the developed
economies. They need someone to champion their cause to create a level playing field
in order for them to compete fairly on the world trade scene. The Africans will
be watching closely as their perceived champion Prime Minister Chrétien guides G8
leaders to make good on some promises. Needless to say, NEPAD is not the be all
and end all, but the launch of a process, to help end the marginalization of a promising
continent.

Back to Top
June 3rd, 2002
Listen up, NATO
has a role to play in preventive diplomacy
And preventive diplomacy can sometime only be effective if one is carrying the proverbial
big stick, Canada
The new National Defence Minister John McCallum's success will be judged on how
much more money he can secure for the department, according to Liberal MP David
Pratt. Mr. Pratt's committee last week tabled a report "Facing Our Responsibilities"
that calls for the defence budget to be increased from $12-billion to a hefty $18-billion.
While every minister tries to secure additional dollars to finance programs in his
or her respective department, National Defence is almost an exception. When Kim
Campbell became minister of National Defence she did a quick about-turn on her views
on increased military spending. Within days she went from opposing the purchase
of new helicopters to becoming a strong supporter of it. The generals at "headquarters"
work their magic on the newcomer. It is a strange but recurring phenomenon. Whenever
an MP or a new Minister gets within the confines of the National Defence Headquarters,
it does not take long for them to become converts to more military spending.
Jean Chrétien never served in the National Defence portfolio, which perhaps explains
why he remains a healthy skeptic of increased military spending, especially at the
expense of social programs. Many of the 25 recommendations in the Commons Defence
Committee report call for increased spending and procurement of equipment. The report
also tries to cause unwarranted concern by mirroring U.S. style "Homeland Defence"
whereas what most Canadians are concerned about is search and rescue capability.
Only the Bloc Québécois opposed the report, preferring for wider consultations with
Canadians in producing a defence policy paper.
On the international stage, 19 NATO leaders met in Rome on May 28 to establish Russia-NATO
Council. "It is an opportunity to end the last divisions of the Cold War and
to build a truly re-united Europe," Prime Minister Chrétien told the NATO summit.
President Putin who until recently suspiciously eyed NATO expansion is now cohabiting
with it. He will now not object to unilateral abandoning by the U.S. of the ABM
Treaty and is also likely to drop his objection to the proposed U.S. missile defence
system. Russia and the U.S. have now found a common enemy in terrorism. The U.S.
no longer decries Russian actions in Chechnya against Muslim separatists. Earlier,
U.S. President Bush during his visit to Kremlin signed an agreement with Russian
President Putin to reduce long-range nuclear warheads by two-thirds over the next
10 years. The U.S. is to ask G-7 leaders meeting in Kananaskis next month to pay
for the nuclear cleanup in Russia. The West did the same in Ukraine.
NATO, formed in 1949, is expanding while its Cold War nemesis Warsaw Pact died over
a decade ago with the demise of the Soviet Union. President Bush told the Reichstag
in Berlin last week that NATO's role in providing collective security is "as
urgent as ever." NATO foreign ministers meeting in Reykjavik two weeks ago
also backed increased spending on personnel and equipment for NATO so that it can
move anywhere quickly.
There is a rush now to join NATO. Ten potential member countries have formed the
Vilnius Group in order to coordinate their efforts to join the current 19 members
of NATO. After the acceptance of the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland into the
membership in 1999, NATO leaders will launch the next round of enlargement talks
at the upcoming summit in Prague on Nov. 12 and 22, 2002.
When asked why the rush and desire to join NATO, most aspiring membership countries
can only point to the need to be part of the European and transatlantic equation
and the new found threat of terrorism. But one draws a blank when asking, who is
the enemy?
Membership in the European Union provides the kind of security that the countries
wanting to join NATO are seeking. The newly-independent countries of the Baltics,
central and southeastern Europe could benefit immensely from the economic and social
programs offered by the EU membership. Most of the countries seeking NATO membership
are also listing themselves for membership in the EU.
Perhaps it is difficult for the North American mind to comprehend the centuries-old
ethnic hatreds, which have surfaced time and again in two World Wars and most recently
in ethnic strife leading to ethnic cleansing in various parts of Europe.
President Bush has balanced his unilateralism of discarding Kyoto and imposing steel
and lumber tariffs with promoting multilateralism by strengthening NATO, de-clawing
Russia, and in so doing he will hopefully help make the world a more secure place.
NATO has a role to play in preventive diplomacy. And preventive diplomacy can sometime
only be effective if one is carrying the proverbial big stick. In this case, NATO
is well-poised to play that much-needed role in parts of the world from where conflicts
could engulf and threaten the security of the whole world.

Back to Top
May 6th, 2002
Sensational CBC 60 Minutes
story fuels stronger attacks on Canada's refugee and immigration policies, negative
stereotype
The refugees and immigrants whose infusion into Canada fuelled decades of development
are under attack by the Canadian Alliance in Parliament. The negative stereotyping
generated by these attacks does not help in creating a tolerant and inclusive society.
There are about 12 million refugees on the move in almost every part of the world
in search of protection against persecution and a better life. Some are fleeing
their countries because of persecution on the basis of race, religion or political
beliefs, and are known as convention refugees, while others in search of a better
life, are 'economic' refugees.
The reference to convention refugees stems from the 1951 Convention, which covers
rules governing definition and treatment of fundamental aspects of a refugee's life.
There are 140 parties to the Convention, which was originally adopted to deal with
the movement of populations in the aftermath of World War II in Europe and growing
East-West political tensions. It does not cover economic migrants.
The fuel for attacks on Canadian refugee and immigration policies came as a result
of a sensational CBS 60 Minutes program which attempted to portray Canada
as a haven for terrorists and therefore a potential threat to the United States.
Alas, a one Ahmed Ressam arrested for trying to cross the Canada-U.S. border does
not make Canada a hot bed of terrorism. As Liberal MP Steve Mahoney told the House
of Commons, "To trash Canada only fuels the view that immigration is bad. Immigration
is what built this country and it will continue to do so."
The 60 Minutes program should have looked a little closer to home. If it
had done so, it would have discovered that all 19 hijackers involved in the fateful
Sept. 11 attacks were residing in the U.S. legally. Furthermore, while three had
studied in Germany, none had lived or trained in Canada. And to the American public's
horror, one of the hijacker's successfully processed immigration status by the US
Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) arrived three months after the incident.
The Alliance then turned its guns on the refugee system asking the government to
refuse to accept asylum seekers from the United States since no one can comprehend
a refugee claimant from a country promising life, liberty and pursuit of happiness.
However, some of the asylum seekers who first land in the U.S. choose to make their
way to Canada for various reasons. Often there are family links to those who may
have already settled here. And language and culture are other factors that weigh
in. Perhaps it is easier to gain access to the U.S. than Canada, given the geographic
proximity of the country from where the refugees are originating or merely the ease
of travel connections.
In a similar scenario unfolding across the Atlantic, a large number of asylum seekers
are daily desperately trying to cross that Channel by whatever means, to go from
France to England. This is frustrating the English people who also do not understand
the desire of the asylum seekers not to continue to live in France but beat the
track to Britain. Again, language, cultural practices, or family links could be
the determining factors.
There are some 200 million people who cross the Canada-U.S. border every year. How
does a border guard know until the person is on the Canadian side of the border
that he or she plans to apply for asylum. And once on this side of the border, the
Canadian government is obliged to hear the case of the asylum seeker and provide
the necessary protection, which so many in Canada have enjoyed.
There is no doubt there is a problem with the refugee movement between Canada and
the US. There is no agreement between the two countries to resolve the issue after
almost 10 years of negotiations. At present, in the absence of any international
agreement, the US has unilaterally decided not to take back any person who once
leaves its territory to seek refuge in Canada. The U.S. insists on sending the person
back to his or her country of origin. This can prove to be costly and cumbersome
since many of the asylum seekers lack proper documentation and under international
obligations cannot be sent back to the very country they fled for fear of prosecution.
Alliance MP Stockwell Day was right last Wednesday in the House to reprimand the
government for staffing four out of five positions at Canadian embassies immigration
offices overseas with locally-hired personnel. "While hiring locally is appropriate,
the ultimate decision as to who is eligible to enter Canada must be left in the
hands of Canadian citizens," according to Mr. Day.
And New Democrat MP Judy Wasylycia-Leis told the House the same day, "Government
cuts and understaffing, not refugees, are responsible for backlogs and enforcement
problems."
The debate over immigration and refugee determination in Canada is far from over.
When last week's column rhetorically asked whether the xenophobic "Le Pen"
phenomenon could happen in Canada, Citizenship and Immigration Minister Denis Coderre,
following questions from Canadian Alliance in the House last Monday, observed: "Maybe
now Le Pen has a franchise in Canada."
Back to Top